Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 271448 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 1048 AM EDT WED MAY 27 2015 .DISCUSSION...BNA 12Z SOUNDING AND MODEL SOUNDINGS ACROSS THE AREA SHOW A LOW-LEVEL INVERSION THIS MORNING. THE INVERSION IS KEEPING THE LOW-CLOUDS OVER THE AREA. MODELS SHOW THE INVERSION MIXING OUT THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WILL ALLOW SKIES TO BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY. A SHORT-WAVE OVER THE WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL MOVE TOWARD THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. MODELS SHOW A GOOD DEAL OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING MID-STATE THEN MOVING INTO THE PLATEAU. HOWEVER...MODELS ALSO SHOW THE AIR-MASS MOIST OVER THE PLATEAU...BUT MUCH DRIER FARTHER EAST TOWARD TYS AND ESPECIALLY TRI. DO NOT THINK CONVECTION WILL MAKE IT MUCH INTO THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VALLEY. MADE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST HIGHS DUE TO THE CLOUD COVER. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 83 65 86 67 / 40 30 50 20 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 84 65 84 66 / 20 30 30 20 OAK RIDGE, TN 82 66 84 65 / 20 30 30 20 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 84 61 82 62 / 20 20 30 30 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$

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