Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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278 FXUS64 KMRX 291832 AFDMRX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 232 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016 .SHORT TERM...
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(Tonight and Tomorrow)...Upper low forecast to wobble a bit further southeast before beginning to drift slowly northwest and north. Best chance for any showers tonight will be in the same areas that had them today...mostly northern areas...and may even be a few more rumbles of thunder far northeast. Will carry slight chance to chance PoPs north and central. On Friday drier air is forecast to be pulled into the area...so should be precip free with quite a bit of sunshine. Temps will continue to be a bit below normal for the most part...and will stay fairly close to the MAV numbers. .LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)... Closed low moves northeast away from the area Friday night. Temperatures will gradually warm into the weekend as more mild air flows back into the region behind the low. A disintegrating boundary may bring a brief shower to northwestern portions of the forecast area Sunday night, but otherwise conditions look dry throughout the extended period as a ridge of high pressure moves back into the region. This will also help temperatures rebound back into the 80s for the first half of next week. Models show a tropical system moving north along the East Coast for late in the forecast period, but solutions vary greatly from model to model. At this point, it is too early to determine what impact, if any, this system will have on the forecast for late next week.
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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Chattanooga Airport, TN 51 73 54 79 / 10 10 10 10 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 50 72 51 78 / 10 10 10 10 Oak Ridge, TN 50 73 51 77 / 20 10 10 10 Tri Cities Airport, TN 53 72 49 75 / 40 10 10 10
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&& .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...None. TN...None. VA...None. && $$ LW/EMH

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