Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 040208 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 1008 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2015 .DISCUSSION...FORECAST STILL LOOKS ON TRACK THIS EVENING. CURRENT FORECAST BRINGS IN POPS AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR SWVA AND MOST OF NETN LATER IN THE NIGHT. STILL THINKING THIS TIMING WILL HOLD TRUE. CURRENT CLUSTER OF STORMS ACROSS NORTHEASTERN KY SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD OUR CWA. MODERATE/STRONG CAPE AXIS LOCATED ALONG A SW TO NE GRADIENT UP THROUGH NEKY...WITH A SHARP DECLINING GRADIENT INTO OUR NORTHERN AREAS WHERE MUCH WEAKER CAPE IS CURRENTLY OBSERVED. STORMS MAY STAY NORTH OF OUR ENTIRE AREA BUT IF THEY DO MAKE IT IN I WOULD EXPECT MUCH WEAKER ACTIVITY COMPARED TO WHAT CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY IS DEPICTING ACROSS NEKY. NO CHANGES TO FORECAST. DID TWEAK HOURLY TEMPS AND DEWPOINTS TO MATCH UP WITH CURRENT OBS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 69 95 73 93 / 10 10 10 20 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 67 92 70 90 / 10 20 10 20 OAK RIDGE, TN 67 91 68 89 / 10 20 10 20 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 65 89 65 88 / 20 30 20 30 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ SR

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