Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 011127 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 727 AM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016 .AVIATION...
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JET DYNAMICS IS PLACING THE NORTHERN TENNESSEE VALLEY UNDER THE FAVORED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE JET. THIS DIFLUENCE ALONG WITH CAPES OF 500-1000 JKG IS PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE TRI AND TYS. THIS LIFT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY 15Z...SO CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH. BESIDES THE CONVECTION...DENSE FOG AT TYS THIS MORNING. FOG WILL DISSIPATE BY 14Z. FOR TODAY...CLOUD COVERAGE WILL DIMINISH WITH FLIGHT CONDITIONS BECOMING VFR AT ALL TAF SITES. PLENTY OF MIXING AND INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW AIRMASS TO BECOME FAIRLY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...LACK OF LIFTING MECHANISM WILL LIMIT COVERAGE OF STORMS. WILL INCLUDE VCTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST LATER TODAY WITH SUSTAIN SPEEDS OF 10-15KTS AS PLENTY OF MIXING ANTICIPATED.
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&& .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$

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