Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 131400 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 1000 AM EDT SUN JUL 13 2014 .DISCUSSION... CURRENT SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CAROLINAS...WITH A WARM AND MOIST AIR MASS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IS PROGGED TO DEVELOP AGAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION DEVELOPING...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. MODEL SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO REVEAL A WARM MID-LEVEL LAYER AROUND 600 MB...WHICH SHOULD HELP TO KEEP ANY CONVECTION FROM BECOMING TOO STRONG. OVERALL...CURRENT FORECAST FOR TODAY APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK...BUT HAVE UPDATED THIS MORNING TO REMOVE SOME MORNING PRECIP WORDING. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 93 71 92 71 / 20 20 60 60 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 92 70 90 70 / 20 30 60 60 OAK RIDGE, TN 92 70 90 70 / 20 30 60 60 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 91 66 87 66 / 30 30 60 60 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ DMG

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