Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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970 FXUS64 KMRX 261540 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 1140 AM EDT TUE APR 26 2016 .DISCUSSION...WEAK COLD FRONT ALONG THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES WILL SAG SOUTH TOWARD THE AREA TONIGHT. AT THE PRESENT TIME SOME CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA HAS KEPT TEMPERATURES DOWN A FEW DEGREES THIS MORNING SO ADJUSTED HOURLY TEMPERATURES. DEW POINTS ARE FORECASTED BY MODELS TO RISE AS BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE INCREASES AND MODELS WANT TO DEVELOP SHOWERS AND STORMS BY AFTERNOON...BUT ACTUAL DEW POINT INCREASES HAVE NOT CHANGED AS FAST AS FORECAST. CONVECTION DEVELOPING TO THE NORTH OVER WEST VIRGINIA NOW AND EVENTUALLY IN KENTUCKY THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE SLOWLY SOUTH AFFECTING SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. HAVE REMOVED POPS FOR THE PLATEAU AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS TIMING IS EXPECTED TO BE AFTER 00Z. ADDED SLIGHT CHANCE SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM SMOKY MOUNTAINS SOUTH TO NORTH CAROLINA FOR THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS LOOK GOOD SO NO CHANGES THERE. && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ TD

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