Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FXUS64 KMRX 010717 AFDMRX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 307 AM EDT SAT NOV 1 2014 .SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...
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UPPER LOW MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS E TN EARLY TODAY. MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL WRAP BACK INTO THE AREA THROUGH MID DAY AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE MAINLY SNOW...WITH SOME MIX WITH RAIN ACROSS THE VALLEYS. FREEZING LEVEL IN THE VALLEYS RISES SOME TODAY TO NEAR 1200 FEET BEFORE FALLING TO THE SURFACE TONIGHT. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN NORTHWEST FLOW. WINTER WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES REMAIN ON TRACK. HIGHER ELEVATIONS A SURE BET FOR HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS. LOWER LEVELS WILL SEE PLENTY OF MELTING WHILE SOME HAZARDOUS IMPACTS REMAIN POSSIBLE. FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL OCCUR AREAWIDE TONIGHT. ZONES THAT REMAIN IN THE FREEZE PROGRAM HAVE A FREEZE WARNING FOR TONIGHT. THE GROWING SEASON WILL LIKELY END FOR THE YEAR TONIGHT. .LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...A FEW PATCHES OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES WILL LINGER OVER FAR NORTHEASTERN AREAS OF SUNDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE AREA. BY AFTERNOON...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO MOVE IN FOR CLEARING SKIES. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING OVERNIGHT FOR ANOTHER NIGHT OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE AREA MONDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY FOR DRY CONDITIONS AND A WARMING TREND. HIGHS WILL CLIMB BACK UP INTO THE 60S FOR MID WEEK. THE NEXT SYSTEM OF CONCERN WILL BE A WEAK COLD FRONT. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES BUT ASSOCIATED SHOWERS SHOULD MOVE THROUGH AROUND THE WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY TIME FRAME. DRY CONDITIONS RETURN FOR FRIDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN.
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
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CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN 46 30 53 33 / 20 0 0 0 KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN 41 29 49 30 / 80 20 10 0 OAK RIDGE, TN 41 29 49 31 / 60 10 10 0 TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN 38 28 43 26 / 100 40 10 0
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&& .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
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NC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR CHEROKEE-CLAY. TN...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-JOHNSON-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST CARTER-SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-UNICOI. FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM EST /2 AM CST/ TO 9 AM EST /8 AM CST/ SUNDAY FOR ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BRADLEY-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN- HAMILTON-JEFFERSON-KNOX-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-MEIGS-NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST COCKE-NORTHWEST MONROE-RHEA- ROANE-SEQUATCHIE-UNION-WEST POLK. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ANDERSON-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN- HANCOCK-HAWKINS-MORGAN-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE- NORTHWEST GREENE-SCOTT TN-SULLIVAN-UNION-WASHINGTON TN. VA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR RUSSELL- WASHINGTON-WISE. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEE- SCOTT.
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&& $$ SON/MJB

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