-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS64 KMRX 041508
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1008 AM EST WED MAR 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...UPPER JET RETROGRADING SOME TODAY INTO THE SOUTHERN
GREAT LAKES. DEEP MOIST WARM LAYER OVER THE EAST TN VALLEY AND
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. CURRENT LULL IN SHOWER COVERAGE WITH
EXPECTED INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS AFTERNOON FAVORING WESTERN
AREAS. TEMPERATURES HAVE SURGED THIS MORNING...ADJUSTED CURRENT AND
MAX TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES TODAY.

HEADLINE PRODUCES LOOK GOOD. MAIN THREAT WITH HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IS
FLOOD POTENTIAL ACROSS THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA. MODERATE RAINFALL EXPECTED TONIGHT ACROSS THE
FLOOD WATCH AREA.

WINTER WATCH AND ADVISORIES REMAIN IN PLACE. WINTRY MIX TRANSITION
STILL ON TRACK WITH STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION THURSDAY. SLEET TO
SNOW SHOULD DOMINATE MORNING HOURS...WITH BETTER ICE THREAT
NORTHWEST AREAS.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             67  37  38  22 /  80  90 100  10
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  65  35  36  18 /  80  90 100  10
OAK RIDGE, TN                       64  33  34  18 /  80  90 100  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              63  33  33  17 /  80  90 100  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-HANCOCK-
     HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LOUDON-MARION-MEIGS-
     NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST GREENE-RHEA-ROANE-SEQUATCHIE-
     SOUTHEAST CARTER-SOUTHEAST GREENE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
     WASHINGTON TN.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-
     HANCOCK-MORGAN-SCOTT TN.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR CAMPBELL-
     CLAIBORNE-MORGAN-SCOTT TN.

VA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR RUSSELL-SCOTT-WASHINGTON.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR LEE-RUSSELL-SCOTT-
     WASHINGTON-WISE.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY FOR LEE-WISE.

&&

$$

SON