Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FXUS64 KMRX 110652
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
252 AM EDT Wed Oct 11 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)...
Still some lingering isolated showers out there early this
morning, but most of the area has stayed dry through the overnight
hours. Some patchy fog is present as well and that could last
through the morning hours before it is able to clear out. Biggest
weather maker today will be a front that is expected to move
through today. Front could bring another round of precipitation
along it, but high resolution models are not overly excited about
this prospect. Behind the front skies should begin to clear out as
we get drier air from the west to move in.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)...Models continue to be in
decent agreement overall with pretty good run to run consistency,
and forecast confidence is above average for this time of year. The
upper level ridge will reestablish itself over the region Thursday
and will continue into the weekend.  Somewhat drier air will be in
place, but southeast flow may bring enough moisture to the eastern
mountains for some isolated showers Friday and Saturday.  A cold
front will be approaching Sunday and should sweep through Sunday
night or at latest early Monday.  Expect some showers and perhaps
thunderstorms near and ahead of the front.  Drier and cooler air
will push in behind the front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             84  58  79  58 /  30   0  10  10
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  84  57  79  58 /  30  20   0  10
Oak Ridge, TN                       83  56  78  57 /  30  20   0  10
Tri Cities Airport, TN              83  55  79  58 /  40  20  10  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
TN...None.
VA...None.
&&

$$

ABM/LW



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