Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000 FNUS54 KMRX 311446 FWFMRX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 .DISCUSSION...UPDATE TO INCREASE POPS ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN VALLEY AND INTO SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION ON HALLOWEEN...BRINGING A COLD WIND AND LIGHT RAIN. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE UNSEASONABLY COLD THIS WEEKEND...BUT A QUICK WARMING TREND WILL DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK. VAZ001-002-005-006-008-011600- JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6- 1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY TEMP (24H TREND) 46-51 (-6) 28-33 (-5) 33-38 RH % (24H TREND) 59-64 (+7) 95-100 (+1) 67-72 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 10 G20 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 5 W 6 NW 11 G20 PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 100 100 PRECIP DURATION 3 8 6 PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.18 0.33 0.20 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5000 4100 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 8 NW 26 DISPERSION 20 GEN POOR 49 GEN GOOD 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 13 G25 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 6 W 8 G15 NW 13 G25 REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ018-041-043-045-047-011600- NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST- 1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 44-49 (-6) 26-31 (-6) 28-33 RH % (24H TREND) 62-67 (+8) 95-100 (+3) 74-79 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 11 G22 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 5 W 7 G16 NW 12 G23 PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 100 100 PRECIP DURATION 3 8 8 PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.45 0.31 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5300 5000 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 9 NW 28 DISPERSION 19 GEN POOR 54 GEN GOOD 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 14 G28 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 6 G15 W 9 G21 NW 15 G28 REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ072-074-011600- TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK- 1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 45-50 (-6) 25-30 (-7) 30-35 RH % (24H TREND) 56-61 (+7) 95-100 (+5) 66-71 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 13 G25 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 7 G17 NW 10 G19 NW 12 G23 PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 100 100 PRECIP DURATION 1 8 6 PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.46 0.21 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5500 6100 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 9 N 32 DISPERSION 19 GEN POOR 81 GOOD 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 16 G31 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 9 G22 NW 12 G24 NW 15 G29 REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. $$ TNZ087-102-011600- SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST- 1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 50-55 (-6) 28-33 (-6) 37-42 RH % (24H TREND) 51-56 (+7) 93-98 (+2) 51-56 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 12 G22 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 7 G15 NW 9 G17 NW 11 G20 PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 60 PRECIP DURATION 1 5 2 PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.27 0.08 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 5700 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 12 N 33 DISPERSION 33 FAIR 104 VERY GOOD 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 15 G28 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 9 G19 NW 11 G21 NW 14 G25 REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ NCZ060-061-011600- NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST- 1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 49-54 (-6) 28-33 (-4) 37-42 RH % (24H TREND) 54-59 (+10) 95-100 (+6) 51-56 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 13 G24 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 7 NW 9 G18 NW 13 G24 PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 50 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1 PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.19 0.10 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5400 5700 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 10 N 35 DISPERSION 28 FAIR 102 VERY GOOD MAX LVORI 4 3 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) N 5 NW 17 G31 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 9 G18 NW 11 G23 NW 16 G30 REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-011600- EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST- 1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 49-54 (-6) 29-34 (-4) 35-40 RH % (24H TREND) 55-60 (+8) 92-97 (-3) 62-67 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 10 G20 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 6 W 7 NW 10 G20 PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 100 80 PRECIP DURATION 3 8 6 PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.14 0.23 0.18 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4700 4100 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 8 NW 25 DISPERSION 23 FAIR 56 GEN GOOD 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 13 G25 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 7 G16 W 9 G18 NW 13 G25 REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-011600- EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST- 1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 50-55 (-6) 29-34 (-6) 36-41 RH % (24H TREND) 51-56 (+5) 89-94 (-3) 58-63 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 11 G20 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 7 G19 NW 10 G21 NW 10 G18 PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 80 60 PRECIP DURATION 4 8 2 PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.15 0.08 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4600 4300 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 10 NW 28 DISPERSION 28 FAIR 73 GOOD 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 14 G25 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 9 G24 NW 13 G26 NW 12 G23 REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-011600- CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH- 1046 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014 TODAY TONIGHT SAT CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 52-57 (-6) 29-34 (-7) 40-45 RH % (24H TREND) 48-53 (+4) 84-89 (-5) 50-55 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 12 G23 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 8 G20 NW 12 G22 NW 11 G20 PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 30 20 PRECIP DURATION 2 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 4 PM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.05 0.03 LAL 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4900 4900 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 13 N 33 DISPERSION 41 GEN GOOD 108 VERY GOOD 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR NW 16 G28 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) NW 10 G25 NW 14 G28 NW 14 G26 REMARKS...NONE. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$

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