Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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221 FNUS54 KMRX 040708 FWFMRX FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 308 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 .DISCUSSION... A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY PRODUCING LIKELY CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AN UPPER TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH THURSDAY CONTINUING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE RAIN MAY MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE SMOKY MOUNTAINS. UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY AND THURSDAY. VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050815- JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6- 308 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY TEMP (24H TREND) 59-64 (-5) 40-45 (-5) 50-55 RH % (24H TREND) 46-51 (-7) 95-100 (+10) 59-64 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 7 NW 6 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 8 W 5 NW 7 G15 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 90 70 PRECIP DURATION 1 4 3 PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.14 0.17 LAL 2 2 1 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6500 4500 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 14 NW 17 DISPERSION 51 GEN GOOD 36 FAIR 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 9 G18 NW 7 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 10 G18 W 7 G16 NW 9 G19 REMARKS...NONE. .THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050815- NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST- 308 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 57-62 (-7) 37-42 (-6) 47-52 RH % (24H TREND) 42-47 (-11) 93-98 (+11) 64-69 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 8 G16 NW 8 G16 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 9 G16 W 5 NW 9 G18 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 90 70 PRECIP DURATION 1 4 3 PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.19 0.19 LAL 2 2 1 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6500 5000 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 NW 21 DISPERSION 55 GEN GOOD 39 FAIR 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 10 G20 NW 10 G20 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 11 G20 W 7 NW 12 G23 REMARKS...NONE. .THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ072-074-050815- TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK- 308 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 58-63 (-6) 35-40 (-7) 46-51 RH % (24H TREND) 38-43 (-15) 95-100 (+13) 60-65 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 8 G15 NW 7 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 10 G17 W 7 G16 NW 9 G18 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 80 60 PRECIP DURATION 1 3 3 PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.25 0.20 LAL 2 2 1 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6800 5600 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 17 NW 22 DISPERSION 54 GEN GOOD 46 GEN GOOD 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 9 G19 NW 9 G18 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 13 G22 W 9 G21 NW 11 G23 REMARKS...NONE. .THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ087-102-050815- SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST- 308 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 62-67 (-5) 39-44 (-6) 52-57 RH % (24H TREND) 39-44 (-11) 93-98 (+12) 44-49 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) NW 7 G15 NW 7 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 10 G20 W 11 G23 NW 9 G16 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 40 PRECIP DURATION 1 2 1 PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.07 0.15 0.07 LAL 2 2 1 LASI 4 4 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 4900 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 NW 24 DISPERSION 50 GEN GOOD 60 GEN GOOD 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) NW 9 G19 NW 9 G18 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 12 G25 W 14 G28 NW 12 G21 REMARKS...NONE. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ NCZ060-061-050815- NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST- 308 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 61-66 (-8) 38-43 (-7) 53-58 RH % (24H TREND) 41-46 (-6) 94-99 (+12) 44-49 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) NW 8 G15 NW 8 G15 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 10 G18 W 10 G20 NW 10 G18 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 50 40 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.14 0.05 LAL 2 2 1 LASI 4 4 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 5100 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 16 NW 26 DISPERSION 50 GEN GOOD 64 GOOD MAX LVORI 3 4 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) NW 10 G19 NW 10 G19 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 13 G22 W 13 G26 NW 12 G22 REMARKS...NONE. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050815- EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST- 308 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 62-67 (-4) 40-45 (-6) 51-56 RH % (24H TREND) 41-46 (-9) 95-100 (+12) 55-60 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 7 G15 W 6 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 9 G17 W 6 W 8 G16 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 90 60 PRECIP DURATION 1 3 3 PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.19 0.14 LAL 2 2 1 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 4200 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 NW 17 DISPERSION 57 GEN GOOD 41 GEN GOOD 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 9 G19 W 7 G15 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 11 G21 W 7 G16 W 10 G20 REMARKS...NONE. .THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050815- EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST- 308 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 63-68 (-2) 41-46 (-5) 54-59 RH % (24H TREND) 37-42 (-9) 88-93 (+11) 50-55 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 NW 6 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 9 G17 NW 7 G16 NW 8 G15 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 70 40 PRECIP DURATION 2 3 1 PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.11 0.10 0.07 LAL 2 2 1 LASI 4 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 5900 4500 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 14 NW 20 DISPERSION 56 GEN GOOD 55 GEN GOOD 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 8 G17 NW 7 G15 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) SW 12 G22 NW 8 G20 NW 10 G19 REMARKS...NONE. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$ TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050815- CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH- 308 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 /208 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/ TODAY TONIGHT THU CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY TEMP (24H TREND) 64-69 (-3) 41-46 (-5) 57-62 RH % (24H TREND) 37-42 (-11) 90-95 (+12) 44-49 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 6 NW 9 G17 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 10 G19 NW 9 G17 NW 9 G17 PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 50 30 PRECIP DURATION 1 1 1 PRECIP BEGIN 2 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING PRECIP AMOUNT 0.10 0.06 0.02 LAL 2 2 1 LASI 4 4 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6000 4900 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 15 NW 26 DISPERSION 63 GOOD 85 GOOD 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) W 8 G17 NW 11 G22 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) W 13 G23 NW 11 G21 NW 12 G21 REMARKS...NONE. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 50. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. $$

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