Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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611 FNUS54 KMRX 220208 AAA FWFMRX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...UPDATED Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina National Weather Service Morristown TN 908 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017 .DISCUSSION... UNSEASONABLE WARMTH IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH WEATHER CONDITIONS TURNING UNSETTLED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. SHOWERS WILL MOVE THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AND ONCE AGAIN ON THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE FRIDAY, BRINGING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING. MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND. VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230315- Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6- 908 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud cover Cloudy Cloudy MCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 47-52 (+2) 58-63 (-8) 46-51 67-72 RH % (24h trend) 88-93 (+22) 68-73 (+38) 95-100 47-52 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 5 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 6 Precip type showers showers showers showers Chance precip (%) 70 80 30 20 Precip duration 3 6 1 1 Precip begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing 7 PM Precip amount 0.15 0.15 0.02 0.04 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3300 5200 Transport wnd (mph) S 9 S 12 Dispersion 10 Poor 31 Fair 33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 5 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8 Remarks...None. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230315- Northern Cherokee National Forest- 908 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud cover MCldy Cloudy MCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 47-52 (+1) 56-61 (-6) 44-49 63-68 RH % (24h trend) 88-93 (+22) 69-74 (+32) 95-100 49-54 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 6 G15 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 7 G16 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 7 G16 Precip type showers showers showers showers Chance precip (%) 80 80 30 20 Precip duration 3 6 1 1 Precip begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing 7 PM Precip amount 0.10 0.16 0.02 0.02 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4100 5200 Transport wnd (mph) S 8 S 12 Dispersion 9 Poor 25 Fair 33ft wind-AM(mph) S 5 S 7 G15 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 8 G16 S 5 LGT/VAR S 8 G16 Remarks...None. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. $$ TNZ072-074-230315- Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park- 908 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud cover MCldy Cloudy MCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 49-54 (+5) 58-63 (-6) 45-50 63-68 RH % (24h trend) 83-88 (+11) 65-70 (+29) 95-100 46-51 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 6 G18 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 7 G16 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 7 G18 Precip type showers showers showers showers Chance precip (%) 80 70 20 20 Precip duration 5 2 1 1 Precip begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing 7 PM Precip amount 0.12 0.09 0.02 0.02 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4300 5500 Transport wnd (mph) SE 8 S 13 Dispersion 8 Poor 27 Fair 33ft wind-AM(mph) S 5 S 8 G18 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 8 G16 LGT/VAR S 5 S 10 G18 Remarks...None. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Colder. Lows in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. $$ TNZ087-102-230315- Southern Cherokee National Forest- 908 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud cover Cloudy Cloudy MCldy PCldy Temp (24h trend) 52-57 (+7) 63-68 (-4) 49-54 68-73 RH % (24h trend) 86-91 (+6) 64-69 (+27) 95-100 46-51 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 7 G20 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 7 G16 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8 G20 Precip type showers showers showers NONE Chance precip (%) 80 60 20 0 Precip duration 5 2 1 Precip begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing 1 AM Precip amount 0.13 0.03 0.01 0.00 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 4000 5100 Transport wnd (mph) SE 9 S 16 Dispersion 15 Gen poor 43 Gen good 33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 5 SE 9 G20 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 8 G16 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 11 G20 Remarks...None. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ060-061-230315- Nantahala National Forest- 908 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu CLOUD COVER Cloudy Cloudy MCldy PCldy TEMP (24H TREND) 51-56 (+13) 61-66 (-4) 47-52 67-72 RH % (24H TREND) 92-97 (-1) 68-73 (+27) 95-100 48-53 20FT WIND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 6 G17 20FT WIND-PM(MPH) E 6 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8 G17 PRECIP TYPE showers showers showers NONE CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 60 20 0 PRECIP DURATION 5 2 1 PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM Continuing Continuing PRECIP END Continuing Continuing 7 AM PRECIP AMOUNT 0.12 0.06 0.01 0.00 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4000 5100 TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 9 S 15 DISPERSION 14 Gen poor 38 Fair MAX LVORI 4 4 33FT WIND-AM(MPH) SE 5 SE 8 G17 33FT WIND-PM(MPH) E 7 SE 5 LGT/VAR S 10 G17 Remarks...None. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 50. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230315- East Tennessee District East- 908 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud cover Cloudy Cloudy MCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 50-55 (+4) 60-65 (-8) 46-51 68-73 RH % (24h trend) 85-90 (+14) 67-72 (+35) 95-100 48-53 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 5 Precip type showers showers showers showers Chance precip (%) 70 80 30 20 Precip duration 3 4 1 1 Precip begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing 7 PM Precip amount 0.12 0.12 0.02 0.03 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 4 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 2700 5000 Transport wnd (mph) SE 6 SW 10 Dispersion 7 Poor 30 Fair 33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 5 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 7 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 7 Remarks...None. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. $$ TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230315- East Tennessee District West- 908 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud cover Cloudy Cloudy MCldy MCldy Temp (24h trend) 51-56 (+8) 62-67 (-5) 49-54 69-74 RH % (24h trend) 87-92 (+4) 65-70 (+29) 94-99 47-52 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR 20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 6 G17 Precip type showers showers showers showers Chance precip (%) 70 60 20 20 Precip duration 3 2 1 1 Precip begin 7 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing 7 PM Precip amount 0.13 0.03 0.01 0.03 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 2600 5100 Transport wnd (mph) SE 7 S 15 Dispersion 7 Poor 50 Gen good 33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 5 G15 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 9 G17 Remarks...None. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. South winds up to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Colder. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ TNZ077-079>085-097>101-230315- Cumberland District South- 908 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017 /808 PM CST Tue Feb 21 2017/ Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud cover Cloudy Cloudy MCldy PCldy Temp (24h trend) 53-58 (+6) 65-70 (-2) 51-56 70-75 RH % (24h trend) 85-90 (+2) 64-69 (+22) 92-97 47-52 20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR S 6 G16 20ft Wind-PM(mph) SE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 8 G17 Precip type showers showers NONE NONE Chance precip (%) 70 40 0 0 Precip duration 3 1 Precip begin 7 PM Continuing Precip end Continuing 7 PM Precip amount 0.11 0.02 0.00 0.00 LAL 1 1 1 1 LASI 3 3 Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 3100 5100 Transport wnd (mph) SE 8 S 15 Dispersion 13 Gen poor 50 Gen good 33ft wind-AM(mph) E 5 S 7 G16 33ft wind-PM(mph) SE 6 SE 5 LGT/VAR S 9 G17 Remarks...None. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower to mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Colder. Lows in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 60s. South winds 5 to 15 mph. $$

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