Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 312319
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
619 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

VERY SUBTLE WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY HAS
TRIGGERED A COUPLE AREAS OF SHOWERS TODAY. THE FIRST AREA HAS
BEEN ALONG AND JUST NORTH/EAST OF THE MISSOURI RIVER...BUT HAS
MOSTLY BEEN JUST OUTSIDE OF OUR AREA TODAY. MEANWHILE...A WEAK
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS CENTRAL NEBRASKA TIED TO THE UPPER
WAVE WAS PROVIDING THE FOCUS FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND RUMBLES OF
THUNDER TO DEVELOP IN THE PLATTE RIVER VALLEY. THUS...WILL STILL
MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THIS EVENING FOR VERY SPOTTY HIT/MISS
ACTIVITY... WHICH WILL SHIFT SOUTH OF I80 BY LATE THIS EVENING AND
END BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

ANOTHER VERY SUBTLE WAVE NOW CROSSING THE US/CANADIAN BORDER
REGION WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SPOTTY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
RUMBLES OF THUNDER TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON FRIDAY...AND AT LEAST
INTO NORTHEAST NEBRASKA FRIDAY NIGHT. NOT SURE HOW FAR SOUTH THEY
WILL MAKE IT...BUT LATER FORECASTS CAN ADJUST AS NECESSARY.

AND FINALLY...ANOTHER VERY SUBTLE WAVE LOOKS TO AFFECT THE AREA
SATURDAY NIGHT WITH VERY SPOTTY LIGHT THUNDERSHOWERS POSSIBLE.

NONE OF THE THREE CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BRING MEANINGFUL PRECIP TO
THE REGION UNFORTUNATELY.

TEMPS OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS BEGIN A GRADUAL WARMUP...MID TO
EVENTUALLY UPPER 80S AND NEAR 90 BY SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 248 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE PLAINS ON MONDAY...WHICH WILL
PROBABLY BE THE HOTTEST DAY IN THE FORECAST. ANOTHER WAVE ROTATING
AROUND THE RIDGE OUT OF THE ROCKIES WILL BEGIN AFFECTING OUR AREA
BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WHEN PRECIP CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN
TO 40/50 PERCENT...THEN MOVING OUT BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH DRY
WEATHER THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(00Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

SPOTTY TSRA WILL BE AROUND THE AREA THIS EVENING. EXPECT SOME CIGS
AROUND 5000 FEET OR SO...WITH A DECENT AMOUNT OF MOISTURE BETWEEN
5000 AND 10000 FEET UNTIL AFTER 06Z. FOR NOW...DID NOT MENTION ANY
PCPN AT THE TAF SITES...BUT MAY HAVE TO AMEND FOR THAT.

OTHERWISE...EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME LIGHT. SOME PATCHY FOG IS PSBL
TOWARD MORNING.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEWALD
LONG TERM...DEWALD
AVIATION...MILLER



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