Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS61 KOKX 240510
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
110 AM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016
A weak cold front moves south tonight as high pressure builds
from the northwest. The high will then remain over the region
through the weekend, and pass east early next week. A cold front
will impact the region toward the middle of next week.
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
A dense fog advisory for Suffolk county on Long Island has been
issued, as widespread dense fog is being reported by automated
systems. No other changes were made to the forecast. Skies will
clear as a cold front moves south and shortwave trough passes
Lows will range from the mid 60s in the NYC/NJ metro to the low
60s near the coast. Temperatures in the interior and Long Island
Pine Barrens will fall into the 50s.
.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
High pressure will continue to build in on Friday. Another mid
level trough will pass to the south on Friday which could lead to
a period of mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon across NYC metro,
but expect dry conditions. High temps are a couple of degrees
above the warmer MOS guidance numbers, with lower/mid 80s in most
places, and upper 70s along south facing shorelines out east.
Low temps Friday night should be similar to those forecast for
There is a moderate risk for rip current development today on
Atlantic facing beaches on Friday.
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
High pressure builds in from the north and west on Saturday and
slowly moves overhead on Sunday before moving offshore on Monday.
Temperatures this weekend will slowly warm into the 80s each day,
possibly touching 90 north and west of NYC Sunday and Monday. In
addition, a light pressure gradient and the combination of warm land
temp and relative cooler water temps will likely result in afternoon
seabreezes. Highs along the coast may only reach the lower 80s.
A cold front approaches on Monday, slowly working its way across the
Northeast from Monday night through Tuesday night. Cold front
should be clear of the region by Wednesday. Will continue to carry
chance POP for showers and thunderstorms for the passage of this
Drier weather returns for the end of the week as high pressure
builds back over the region.
.AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Low pressure passes to the south tonight and Friday as high
pressure builds to the north.
Other than a brief period of IFR and MVFR conditions across
some southern coastal terminals until late tonight, VFR
conditions are expected overnight.
Winds will be mainly light and variable overnight. After 6-8z,
expect winds to become north/northeast with speeds increasing
towards 12z Friday morning. Winds veer to the east, then more
southeast during the afternoon. South coastal terminals are
more likely to see southeast winds sooner during the afternoon.
.OUTLOOK FOR 0Z Saturday THROUGH TUESDAY...
.Friday Night-Sunday night...VFR.
.Monday...Mainly VFR with a slight chance for showers and
.Monday night-Tuesday...Sub-VFR possible in showers
Winds and waves will remain below small craft advisory levels
through early next week. The ocean waters west of Fire Island
Inlet could see some wind gusts close to 25 kt Friday morning.
Also, some onshore wind gusts to 20 kt are possible both Saturday
and Sunday afternoon as sea breezes develop.
No significant rainfall through Monday. The next chance for precip
will be Monday night through Tuesday night as a cold front
NY...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NYZ078>081.