Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Upton, NY

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000 FXUS61 KOKX 221157 AFDOKX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 757 AM EDT MON AUG 22 2016 .SYNOPSIS...
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High pressure will dominate through most of the week. A weak cold front will approach late in the week.
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&& .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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High pressure over the Ohio river valley will slowly build east today. Seasonably warm and dry today with a gusty NW flow of 20-25 and locally up to 30 mph. High temperatures will be in the upper 70s and lower 80s.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
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High pressure builds overhead tonight into Tuesday. Light winds and clear skies will allow temperatures to drop into the 50s to lower 60s tonight, with high temperatures on Tuesday in the upper 70s and lower 80s.
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&& .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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Northern extent of southern upper ridging gradually builds into the region through mid week, flattening a bit late week into weekend. At the surface, sprawling high pressure builds in from the west through mid week, and then gradually centers itself south and east late week. In terms of sensible weather, it will be mostly sunny and mainly dry with temps a few degrees above seasonable norms and gradually rising humidity mid to late week. Models signal a northern stream shortwave approaching and moving through northern New England Fri/Sat. An associated weak cold front approaches Thu Night/Fri and then crosses by Friday night. With forcing remaining well to the north and limited instability, coverage of any associated shra/tsra will likely be limited, diurnal, and mainly across the interior. For the weekend, high pressure builds in from the west with a return of sunny, dry, and above seasonable temps.
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&& .AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
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VFR as high pressure will start to build in today on gusty NW winds, around 15 kt with gusts 20-25 kt through much of the day, then diminishing and veering more northerly toward evening. ...NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support... Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90 KJFK TAF Comments: No unscheduled AMD expected. KLGA TAF Comments: No unscheduled AMD expected. KEWR TAF Comments: No unscheduled AMD expected. The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is green, which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud. KTEB TAF Comments: No unscheduled AMD expected. KHPN TAF Comments: No unscheduled AMD. KISP TAF Comments: No unscheduled AMD expected. .Outlook for 12Z Tuesday through Friday... .Tuesday-Thursday night...VFR. .Friday...Chance of afternoon showers/tstms NW of the NYC metro terminals, with brief MVFR conditions possible.
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&& .MARINE...
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Occasional gusts to 25 kt across near shore waters today. Otherwise, below SCA conditions through mid to late week as high pressure dominates.
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&& .HYDROLOGY... Dry weather is expected through the week and into weekend. && .OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...FIG/NV NEAR TERM...FIG SHORT TERM...FIG LONG TERM...NV AVIATION...Goodman MARINE...FIG/NV HYDROLOGY...FIG/NV

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