Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Spokane, WA
000
FXUS66 KOTX 221801
AFDOTX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
1101 AM PDT Wed May 22 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
The Inland Northwest will remain under a broad trough through at
least the middle of next week, with disturbances riding in from
the Pacific. This set up means several opportunities for
precipitation. Temperatures are expected to remain cooler than
normal through the end of this week, before some moderation.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Rain wrapping around a large closed low centered near Hanford as
of 1030 am will continue to slowly migrate north today. A strong
wave rotating around this low will track from southeast Washington
and the Lewiston area late this morning into Northeast Washington
and the Idaho Panhandle early this afternoon...exiting the area
into southern British Columbia this evening. A band of steady rain
will move through these areas as this wave passes through. A theta
e ridge axis extending from near Lookout Pass to Bonners Ferry
will provide an axis of heavier rainfall with additional rainfall
totals of a half to three quarters of an inch expected. This is on
top of 1-1.5 inches of rain that has already fallen such that some
places may receive rainfall totals as high as 2-2.25 inches. With
this in mind and with a report of ponding of water on roads in
Boundary county opted to upgrade the flood watches to advisories.
Also, with persistent cloud cover today high temperatures were
lowered for most areas. JW
&&
.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS: An upper low pivoting across the Columbia Basin and then
toward western Washington over the next 24 hours will bring bands
of rain to central/eastern WA and northern ID. Coverage is
expected to be highest through 20-22z over the eastern TAF sites,
before turning showery in the afternoon. The western TAF sites
will also see a modest chance of showers, with the easterly
upslope flow providing the most prolonged threat near KEAT.
A very moist boundary layer will lead to continued MVFR CIGS this
morning with gradual improvement through the day. Confidence is less
around the western TAF sites but the more persistent upslope flow
developing into KEAT may produce lower cigs for a longer period.
Isolated afternoon thunderstorm are possible near the Cascades and
central ID panhandle mtns, generally away from TAFs. JW
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Spokane 48 36 61 44 62 41 / 90 20 20 10 50 40
Coeur d`Alene 45 35 61 41 61 40 / 80 20 20 20 50 60
Pullman 48 34 61 40 58 40 / 90 20 20 20 60 50
Lewiston 56 39 67 46 65 46 / 90 20 20 20 60 50
Colville 48 36 66 41 69 40 / 90 60 30 20 40 50
Sandpoint 43 35 60 40 62 39 / 90 70 30 20 50 60
Kellogg 43 34 56 42 58 41 / 80 40 30 40 60 60
Moses Lake 55 40 67 45 70 44 / 50 20 30 20 30 20
Wenatchee 52 40 65 45 66 46 / 70 60 40 20 30 20
Omak 50 36 66 41 69 42 / 80 50 40 20 30 50
&&
.OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
WA...None.
&&
$$