Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 181736 AFDPBZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 136 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014 .SYNOPSIS... MILD AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... SURFACE HIGH MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND NORTHEAST FLOW AT THE SURFACE. DIURNAL CU WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING. MORE OF THE SAME FRIDAY. MAY BE A FEW MORE CLOUDS TOWARD GARRETT COUNTY FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN EASTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW. TEMPERATURES A BIT BELOW THE SEASONAL AVERAGE. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... SURFACE HIGH WILL DRIFT TOWARD AND AWAY FROM THE EAST COAST THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE REPLACED BY A WEAK RIDGE LATE FRIDAY AND THEN ZONAL FLOW ON SATURDAY. WINDS AT AND ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL EVENTUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST BY SATURDAY...ALLOWING FOR WARMER AIR TO SURGE NORTHWARD. SATURDAY WILL SEE TEMPERATURES 5 DEGREES OR SO ABOVE NORMAL. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BRING GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS SUNDAY. OTHER THEN THIS OVERALL DRY AND COOL PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. && .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... MAINLY DIURNAL CU WILL DISSIPATE EARLY THIS EVENING. EXPECT ONLY PATCHY VALLEY FOG AND FOR NOW LEFT OUT OF TERMINALS. ANOTHER VFR DAY FRIDAY WITH DIURNAL CU. OUTLOOK...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... VFR CONDITIONS EXCEPT FOR POSSIBLE RESTRICTIONS SUNDAY WITH A COLD FRONT. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...NONE. OH...NONE. PA...NONE. WV...NONE. && $$

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