Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 281654 AAA AFDPBZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 1254 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2015 .SYNOPSIS...
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WARMER WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST. RAIN CHANCES RETURN SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH PASSAGE OF A WEAK COLD FRONT.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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RATHER QUIET NEAR TERM AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE. NEARLY CALM AND CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT SHOULD GENERATE LOWS CLOSE TO LAST NIGHTS VALUES...WITH WEAK WARM ADVECTION ALOFT CONTRIBUTING TO A ONE OR TWO DEGREE INCREASE IN TEMPS.
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&& .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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QUIET CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR MOST OF SATURDAY AS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW RETURNS WARMTH AND MOISTURE TO THE REGION. A FEW LATE DAY SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT BUT LIFT DOESNT LOOK OVERLY IMPRESSIVE. AT THIS POINT...WILL CARRY SLIGHT CHANCE POPS UNTIL LATER SUNDAY WHEN THE FRONT CROSSES. MOST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE HAS THE FRONT STRETCHING AND BECOMING RATHER DIFFUSE ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. WITH SLIGHTLY BETTER INSTABILITY PROGGED...MAINTAINED THE CHANCE POPS THAT WERE INHERITED BY THE MID SHIFT. TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND.
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&& .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... A STRENGTHENING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO WARM TEMPERATURES AND SUPPRESS PRECIP NEXT WEEK. TWEAKED WPC GUIDANCE WAS USED FOR THE LONG TERM PERIOD. && .AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... VFR AND LIGHT WIND CAN BE EXPECTED UNDER BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WITH EXCEPTIONS FOR NEAR-DAWN FOG. OUTLOOK...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... BRIEF RESTRICTIONS IN SCATTERED CONVECTION ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...NONE. OH...NONE. PA...NONE. WV...NONE. && $$

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