Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 212151 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 551 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017 .SYNOPSIS...
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High pressure will maintain dry and warm weather through Sunday. Rain can be expected with a Monday cold front.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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Dry and warm weather will continue through Sunday although southwestly flow aloft will continue to funnel high cloudiness over the area. Sunday high temperatures are expected to be about 15 degrees above the average.
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&& .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... Monday and Monday night is the favored period for rain during the forecast. Models are indicating that precipitation may come into the area a little bit more quickly on Monday, but still stay through Monday night. Models are in fairly good agreement indicating at least an inch of rain will occur. While showers will linger into Tuesday, rainfall amounts will be much less. One last warm day is expected on Monday, with high temperatures dropping to near normal values on Tuesday. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... A lull in precipitation is expected Tuesday night, but another wave should bring some additional showers Wednesday. Cooler flow off Lake Erie could allow for some enhancement. The weather should then dry out for Thursday and Friday before another low pressure system drags a front across the region over the weekend. Wednesday will be the coldest day of the week, with most locations struggling to reach 50 degrees. Temperatures will then moderate for the end of the week, and highs should head back towards 60 degrees. && .AVIATION /22Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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High pressure should maintain VFR conditions through the TAF period. .Outlook... Restrictions are likely with a late Monday cold front. Periodic restrictions should continue through Wed with an upper trough.
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&& .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. OH...None. PA...None. WV...None. && $$

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