Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS61 KPBZ 161758
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
158 PM EDT TUE SEP 16 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY AND SEASONABLE COOL CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SURFACE RIDGE WILL CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS.
TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S WITH A FEW READINGS IN THE 30S ACROSS THE
RIDGES. ONLY DIURNAL CU EXPECTED TOMORROW ALTHOUGH A BIT MORE
AVAILABLE MOISTURE MAY BRING MORE CLOUDS INTO THE SOUTHEAST
RIDGES. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO NEAR 70 SOUTH OF THE MASON DIXON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
A SHORTWAVE WILL PUSH A REINFORCING COLD FRONT ACROSS NEW YORK
STATE THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING MORE CLOUDS DAYTIME THURSDAY BUT
NOT ENOUGH MOISTURE TO PUT IN ANY POPS. OTHERWISE COOL HIGH
PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A WARM UP EXPECTED FOR THE EARLY WEEKEND AS THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS
WELL EAST OF THE AREA AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL.
TEMPS WILL...AT LEAST TEMPORARILY...RETURN TO NEAR AVERAGE SAT/SUN
AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. THE BEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OVER
THE NEXT 7 DAYS WILL COME WITH AN ELONGATED TROF AND ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT SUN WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS WITH COLD AIR ALOFT MONDAY. COOL
HIGH PRESSURE TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MOSTLY VFR BKN STRATOCU DECK WILL SCATTER OUT OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...WITH SKIES EXPECTED TO GO MOSTLY CLEAR DURING THE EVENING.
THIS WILL COMBINE WITH LIGHT WINDS AND RECENT RAINFALL TO PRODUCE
AREAS OF FOG TONIGHT...PARTICULARLY IN THE VALLEYS. EXPECTING IFR
OR LIFR AT ALL TERMINALS AROUND DAYBREAK. FOG WILL BURN OFF BY
15Z...LEAVING SCT VFR CU.

OUTLOOK...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...
OUTSIDE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF VALLEY FOG ONE OR TWO MORNINGS...VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$







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