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000
FXUS61 KPBZ 141327
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
927 AM EDT FRI JUN 14 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN THROUGH SATURDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR
RAIN WILL COME ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW STRATUS CONTS ACRS MUCH OF THE AREA...HOWEVER THIS IS EXPD TO
LIFT INTO A CU/STRATOCU LYR THRU LTR THIS MRNG. A WK SHRTWV
EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR STLT WL CONT TO DROP S ACRS THE RGN TDA
BEFORE EXITING BY LATE AFTN. JUST A SLGT CHC OF A SHWR WITH THIS
MAINLY PIT EWD...ALTHOUGH MOISTURE IS LMTD. SHOULD SEE A CLRG
TREND LTR THIS AFTN AS THE WAVE EXITS. MRNG RAOBS SPPRT HIGH TEMPS
GENLY 70-75. MCLR SKIES AND COOL TEMPS TNGT UNDER BLDG HIGH PRES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SITTING OVER OHIO SATURDAY MORNING...DRIFTING
TO THE SOUTHEAST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THERE SHOULD BE LITTLE MORE
THAN SOME HIGH CLOUDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. POPS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WITH SHORTWAVE RACING ACROSS THE REGION
IN RELATIVELY ZONAL FLOW. HAVE MAINTAINED LIKELY POPS FOR MOST OF
THE REGION...WITH HIGHEST POPS TO THE NORTH. ONCE THE WEAK COLD
FRONT COMES THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...MODEL DEPICTIONS GET A BIT
JUMBLED AS TO WHERE PRECIP WILL SET UP...AND HAVE GENERALLY JUST
LEFT CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST. WEEKEND TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND
A BIT CLOSER TO SEASONABLE NUMBERS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A STNRY FNT NR THE UPR OH VLLY WL CONT TO FOCUS SHWR/TSTM CHCS ON
MON NGT...WHILE AN UPR LVL TROF AND CDFNT ARE EXP TO CROSS THE GT
LKS TUE WITH BETTER CHCS FOR SHWRS/TSTMS. HIGH PRES IS THEN
PROJECTED TO BLD AND DRY THE WEA FOR WED AND THU. OVERALL LONG
TERM TEMPS SHOULD BE NR OR SLIGHTLY BLO SEASONAL AVGS.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SWATH OF MVFR AND IFR SC AND ST CONT TO WRAP ARND THE WRN FLANK OF
EXITING LOW ANALYZED JUST OFF THE COAST EARLY THIS MRNG. EXPECT
VARYING DEGREES OF THESE CLDS TO AFFECT ALL PORTS EXCEPT ZZV UNTIL
MID MRNG OR EARLY AFTN. OTHERWISE...VFR WITH NNW SFC WIND AOB 10
KT IS FORECAST INTO TNGT.


.OUTLOOK.../TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR UNDR HIGH PRES CAN BE EXPECTED INTO SUNDAY. THEREAFTER RAIN
AND RESTRICTION CHCS WL BE ON THE INCRS FOR THE START OF THE NEW
WEEK.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$