Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 270816 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 416 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2016 .SYNOPSIS... Warm and dry weather can be expected until the approach of low pressure on Thursday. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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Whatever is left of the weak boundary over West Virginia will continue to wobble under the zonal flow aloft. Each small juxtaposition is caused by the passage of upper level energy in the aforementioned flow. With daytime heating, and its resultant atmospheric destabilization, spotty convection could fire over the southern edge of my forecast area. The good news for most of us is the real juicy air will remain shunted to the south, and allow for warm but comfortable conditions.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/... POPs will be on the increase with the approach of low pressure on Thursday. For now, highest POPS and QPF resides over the southeast portions of the forecast area where the track of the low should progress. Still seeing model differences in the path of surface wave and the upper level support which will enhance it Thursday afternoon and Thursday night. System will slowly exit Friday decreasing pop and cloud coverage. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... A series of shortwaves and development of a broad, but shallow trough over the Eastern CONUS is forecast to support periodic rain chances and seasonal temperatures through the weekend. Ridging should return dry weather by the middle of next week. && .AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... MVFR visibility restrictions possible early this morning at DUJ/FKL despite dewpoints in the 50s where limited cloud coverage will allow for temperatures to approach dewpoints before sunrise. VFR conditions are expected south of I-80 where mid-level cloud coverage should lessen radiational cooling. MVFR/IFR conditions are possible south of the PA border closer to a stationary boundary where lower levels are near saturation. .OUTLOOK /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Low pressure should return potential restrictions late Thursday and Friday, with upper troughing maintaining periodic restriction chances through the weekend. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. OH...None. PA...None. WV...None. && $$ is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.