Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 211920 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 320 PM EDT Sat Oct 21 2017 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will maintain dry and warm weather through Sunday. A soaking rain is expected Monday and Monday night. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... Temperatures have climbed into the 70s this afternoon, despite high clouds across the forecast area. Clouds should remain through the night and into tomorrow. Southerly flow will continue to pump warmer air into the region, and Sunday`s highs should climb another degree or two above today`s readings. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... Monday and Monday night is the favored period for rain during the forecast. Models are indicating that precipitation may come into the area a little bit more quickly on Monday, but still stay through Monday night. Models are in fairly good agreement indicating at least an inch of rain will occur. While showers will linger into Tuesday, rainfall amounts will be much less. One last warm day is expected on Monday, with high temperatures dropping to near normal values on Tuesday. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... A lull in precipitation is expected Tuesday night, but another wave should bring some additional showers Wednesday. Cooler flow off Lake Erie could allow for some enhancement. The weather should then dry out for Thursday and Friday before another low pressure system drags a front across the region over the weekend. Wednesday will be the coldest day of the week, with most locations struggling to reach 50 degrees. Temperatures will then moderate for the end of the week, and highs should head back towards 60 degrees. && .AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... VFR conditions will continue into Sunday afternoon, with light winds. Only cirrus clouds are foreseen through the period. .Outlook... Restrictions are likely with a Monday cold front. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. OH...None. PA...None. WV...None. && $$

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