Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 021346 AFDPBZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 946 AM EDT WED SEP 2 2015 .SYNOPSIS... WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH ISOLATED...MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A SHORTWAVE ADVANCING ACROSS THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY REGION IS PROGGED TO BRING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...THOUGH ONE LIMITING FACTOR IS WARM AIR ALOFT. THE BEST COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE SE OF PIT WHERE THE AXIS OF AN UPPER THERMAL TROUGH IS PROGGED TO CROSS. HIGHS SHOULD CONTINUE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL LEVELS. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/... RIDGE ESTABLISHES ITSELF AGAIN LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. AGAIN ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS COULD DEVELOP WITH THE HEAT OF THE DAY...PARTICULARLY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON THURSDAY...AS ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE BRUSHES THE AREA. WARM AND HUMID FOR THE DURATION OF THE SHORT TERM. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... THE STRONG MID/UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED TO REBUILD THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. RELIEF FROM THE DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS MAY COME WITH A MID WEEK COLD FRONT. && .AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH EXCEPTIONS FOR ISOLATED CONVECTION AND PERI-DAWN FOG. OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... BRIEF RESTRICTIONS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH PERI-DAWN FOG AND ISOLATED CONVECTION. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...NONE. OH...NONE. PA...NONE. WV...NONE. && $$

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