Area Forecast Discussion
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902 FXUS61 KPBZ 300439 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1239 AM EDT MON MAY 30 2016 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure should result in dry weather for Memorial Day through mid week, with continued warm temperatures. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... Area of showers ahead of cold front into western ohio are dissipating and have only left chance pops across small portion of eastern ohio. Adjusted min temperatures based on current observations. Monday will feature a general decrease in cloud cover and a slight decrease in dewpoints. An isolated shower or storm will remain possible along the ridges as the cold front trudges eastward. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Building surface high pressure should bring mainly dry weather for the middle portion of the week. Temperatures are expected to average around 10 degrees above seasonal levels using a blend of GFS gridded MOS and consensus guidance. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Models in good overall agreement on a cold front approaching the region by Thursday afternoon and attempting to push east by Friday. A shortwave ahead of a trough axis moving across the great lakes may slow progression of the front Friday until trough passes so chance pops continued. No significant changes for Saturday with chance pops mainly for the ridges with lingering low level moisture. Above normal temperatures mid week will begin to trend toward the seasonal average late week. && .AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Overnight, fog will be the biggest question. Have continued with a forecast favoring persistence, with IFR forecast at those terminals that saw those restrictions last night. AGC is likely to fog tonight given the heavy rainfall earlier today. Fog should dissipate by mid morning Monday, with VFR conditions then expected for the remainder of the day as the cold front crosses with little precipitation. .OUTLOOK /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... The next chance for more widespread restrictions will be with a front Thursday night into Friday. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. OH...None. PA...None. WV...None. && $$

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