Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 201856 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 156 PM EST Fri Jan 20 2017 .SYNOPSIS... Mild weather will continue through the weekend. Widespread rain is expected to move back into the region by Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... Remaining showers will push north through the afternoon hours. After showers depart, expect that the next 24 hours should be dry. That time period should also be the warmest through the forecast period, with overnight lows in the 40s and highs reaching anywhere from the mid 50 in the north to mid 60s in the south. && .SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... The short term portion of the forecast will be the wettest part of the week ahead. ECMWF/GFS/NAM have come to a bit of a compromise over the last couple of days for the track of the upper low that will develop across the Southern Plains, track near the Gulf Coast, then north up to central Pennsylvania. While there is still some run to run variability, occasional rain is expected and it appears that Sunday night and Monday will likely have the most rain. Temperatures will remain warm enough that only a few snowflakes are expected to mix in with rain Monday morning in the ridges, and precipitation could begin to wind down as snow Monday night as temperatures drop back towards the freezing mark. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Any remaining showers should wind down Tuesday, with cold enough air that many locations could see some minimal snow accumulation. There should be a bit of a break between systems before low pressure races across the Great Lakes on Wednesday. Behind the low, northwest flow aloft will allow for scattered showers to continue through the rest of the forecast period. Temperatures will drop through the end of the work week, with below normal values expected by Friday. && .AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Rain will continue to diminish as the supporting shortwave trough progresses northward, but IFR to low end MVFR cigs will linger into Saturday as a warm front shifts northward. .OUTLOOK... More restrictions are likely Saturday night into Monday with slow moving low pressure. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. OH...None. PA...None. WV...None. && $$

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