Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 201625 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1125 AM EST Mon Nov 20 2017 .SYNOPSIS... Tuesday night through Wednesday morning will be the next chance for precipitation. Otherwise, dry and seasonal conditions are expected through the work week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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Visible satellite imagery has revealed fairly widespread snow cover this morning north of I-80 as well as in the higher terrain of PA/WV/MD. Where snow is on the ground, temperatures even as of 11 AM remain mired in the upper 20s. Even away from the snow cover, a fairly cold start has not really been overcome as current temperatures do not exceed the mid 30s anywhere. That said, particularly where snow cover remains, high temperatures were dropped back fairly significantly for this afternoon, while areas without snow cover should still at least challenge 40 degrees. Fries
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Temperatures will continue to trend up Tuesday as warm air advection increases ahead of the next cold front approaching from the west. Models have remained consistent in progging a Tuesday night passage and east of the forecast area by Wednesday afternoon. Have trended PoPs farther south slightly more in line with consensus. Overall, precipitation will be relatively light. Temperatures will cool back down - and run about 10 degrees below average Wednesday. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Dry conditions expected the remainder of the work week...with the next area of low pressure expected to impact the region early Saturday morning. Temperatures will drop back down to around 10 below normal Sunday behind the cold front. && .AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Downlake MVFR stratocu will continue to impact FKL/DUJ through about 15z this morning. Southwesterly flow associated with building high pressure and warm air advection will clear the area of clouds and subsequently, any restrictions. Surface flow will stay out of the southwest, gusting to 20kts at times. .Outlook... Restriction potential returns with a Tue night cold front and subsequent upper troughing through mid week. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. OH...None. PA...None. WV...None. && $$

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