Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KPBZ 261603 AFDPBZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 1203 PM EDT SUN JUL 26 2015 .SYNOPSIS... A WEAK FRONT WILL BRING THE RISK FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY. DRY WEATHER RETURNS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... WITH NOON UPDATE...APPROACHING COLD FRONT REMAINS CLOSE TO THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE. AT THIS POINT...RADAR ONLY SHOWS A COUPLE OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN OHIO...WITH NO COVERAGE ELSEWHERE. HAVE SHIFTED POPS SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH CONSIDERING FRONTAL LOCATION...AND HIGH-RESOLUTION MODEL DEPICTION OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS...ALTHOUGH AM STILL NOT CONFIDENT IN JUST HOW MUCH COVERAGE THERE WILL BE. WITH LOCATIONS FROM PITTSBURGH TO THE SOUTH HAVING REMAINING MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH THIS MORNING...HAVE BUMPED UP HIGH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES IN THOSE LOCATIONS. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/... FRONT WILL CLEAR THE I-70 CORRIDOR AND THE SOUTHEAST RIDGES LATE THIS EVENING. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE...BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...WILL NOSE INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY ON TUESDAY WITH WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS RETURNING. WITH HEIGHTS RISING ALOFT AND MID LEVEL WARMING EXPECTED...ONLY ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AT BEST IN THE RIDGES MONDAY...OTHERWISE NO POPS IN THE FORECAST. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... MODELS COMING INTO FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTING WEST TOWARD THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES LATE WEEK WITH DRIER AND COOLER NORTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES. COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CROSS THE RIDGES BY THURSDAY EVENING. WENT WITH HIGHER CHANCE POPS FOR FROPA. LESS HUMID WITH SEASONAL TEMPERATURES FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. && .AVIATION /16Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... GENL VFR IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH SUNDAY ALTHOUGH A WEAKENING SURFACE BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO SPAWN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. A VICINITY THUNDERSTORM MENTION HAS THUS BEEN INCLUDED...BUT CONVECTION WILL CEASE AND CLOUDS SHOULD SCATTER THIS EVENING AS THE BOUNDARY EXITS. OUTLOOK...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH A WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY COLD FRONT. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...NONE. OH...NONE. PA...NONE. WV...NONE. && $$

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.