Area Forecast Discussion
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601 FXUS61 KPBZ 270137 AFDPBZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 937 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016 .SYNOPSIS...
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BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN A DRY WEDNESDAY...BUT LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING MORE RAIN THURSDAY.
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&& .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
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MAINTAINED LOW CHC POPS FOR SHOWERS WELL S OF THE PA BORDER TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT COMPLETES ITS PASSAGE THRU THE RGN. INSTABILITY AND TSTMS HAVE DIMINISHED. OTHERWISE...DRY BUT MOSTLY CLOUDY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THE REST OF THE NIGHT. LOWS SHOULD BE NEAR THE SEASONAL AVG WITH TEMPS UPDATED USING THE LATEST CONSENSUS MOS.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/... BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRY WEDNESDAY AND COOL ADVECTION SHOULD LIMIT TEMP RECOVERY TO NR THE SEASONAL AVGS. LARGE DIFFERENCES STILL EXIST ACROSS OPERATIONAL MODEL SOLUTIONS ON THE THURSDAY FORECAST...WITH TODAY`S FRONT RETURNING IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING SURFACE LOW OVER THE MIDWEST. OPTED TO KEEP POPS GENERAL WITH A BROAD BLEND OF MODELS APPLIED. SLOWER TIMING ON THE ARRIVAL OF RAIN WAS APPLIED...BUT A LOT OF DETAILS STILL TO BE DETERMINED AS THE POTENT LOW PRESSURE MOVES OUT OF THE PLAINS AND WEAKENS ON APPROACH. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... BUILDING HIGH PRES IN THE WAKE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW IS PROGGED TO PROVIDE A DRY START TO THE WEEKEND...BUT ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO DIG TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC REGION AND INCRS PRECIP CHANCES FOR THE UPR OH REGION ONCE AGAIN. ACTUAL TRACK WL REMAIN QUESTIONABLE FOR A WHILE...SO SUPERBLEND GUIDANCE WAS EXCLUSIVELY UTILIZED FOR THE LONG TERM PERIOD. && .AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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MAINLY MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO ADVECT OVR AREA PORTS IN THE COLD FLOW BEHIND AN EXITING COLD FRONT TONIGHT. REMAINING STRATOCU WILL LIKEY DIMINISH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS SUBSIDENCE BUILDS AND WIND VEERS TO THE NORTHEAST. .OUTLOOK /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY THURSDAY/FRIDAY...AND AGAIN SUNDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS IMPACT THE REGION.
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&& .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...NONE. OH...NONE. PA...NONE. WV...NONE. && $$

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