000
FXUS61 KPBZ 140723
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
323 AM EDT FRI JUN 14 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS COOLER AND DRIER TODAY AND
TOMORROW. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL COME ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS BRIEFLY CLEARED OUT LATE LAST EVENING...CLOUDS
ARE STARTING TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA. EXPECT THAT CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY FILL IN FOR THE
MORNING AND INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES
WITH ONE LAST SHORTWAVE MOVING OVER THE REGION ON THE BACKSIDE OF
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH. STILL NOT SURE THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
SUPPORT TO GET ANY LEGITIMATE RAIN SHOWERS GOING...AND HAVE CUT BACK
POPS TO SLIGHT CHANCE. SIMPLY SOME SCATTERED SPRINKLES MAY EVEN BE A
MORE REALISTIC POSSIBILITY. BY SUNSET EXPECT THAT MOST CLOUDS WILL
HAVE DISSIPATED...EXCEPT IN THE RIDGES WHERE CLOUDS MAY HANG ON A
FEW HOURS LONGER. ONCE SHORTWAVE DEPARTS...SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME CLEAR WITH HIGH PRESSURE ASSERTING ITSELF. BETWEEN COOL
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TODAY AND FULL RADIATIONAL COOLING
TONIGHT...TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SITTING OVER OHIO SATURDAY MORNING...DRIFTING
TO THE SOUTHEAST AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THERE SHOULD BE LITTLE MORE
THAN SOME HIGH CLOUDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. POPS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...WITH SHORTWAVE RACING ACROSS THE REGION
IN RELATIVELY ZONAL FLOW. HAVE MAINTAINED LIKELY POPS FOR MOST OF
THE REGION...WITH HIGHEST POPS TO THE NORTH. ONCE THE WEAK COLD
FRONT COMES THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...MODEL DEPICTIONS GET A BIT
JUMBLED AS TO WHERE PRECIP WILL SET UP...AND HAVE GENERALLY JUST
LEFT CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST. WEEKEND TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND
A BIT CLOSER TO SEASONABLE NUMBERS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A STNRY FNT NR THE UPR OH VLLY SUN NGT INTO MON NGT WL CONT
SHWR/TSTM CHCS. AN UPR LVL TROF AND CDFNT ARE EXP TO CROSS THE GT
LKS TUE WITH BETTER CHCS FOR SHWRS/TSTMS. HIGH PRES BLDS IN WITH
DRY WEA WED AND THU. OVERALL TEMPS SHOULD BE NR OR SLIGHTLY BLO
SEASONAL AVGS.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SWATH OF MVFR AND IFR SC AND ST CONT TO WRAP ARND THE WRN FLANK OF
EXITING LOW ANALYZED JUST OFF THE COAST EARLY THIS MRNG. EXPECT
VARYING DEGREES OF THESE CLDS TO AFFECT ALL PORTS EXCEPT ZZV UNTIL
SHRTLY AFTER DAYBREAK. OTHERWISE...VFR WITH GRADUALLY DIMINISHING
NNW SFC WIND IS FORECAST INTO TNGT.


.OUTLOOK.../TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR UNDR HIGH PRES CAN BE EXPECTED INTO SUNDAY. THEREAFTER RAIN
AND RESTRICTION CHCS WL BE ON THE INCRS FOR THE START OF THE NEW
WEEK.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$