Area Forecast Discussion
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858 FXUS61 KPBZ 291531 AFDPBZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1131 AM EDT Mon Aug 29 2016 .SYNOPSIS... Warm and mainly dry weather is expected with building high pressure early this week. The passage of a mid week cold front should return seasonal temperatures to the region. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... With 8:45am update, made minimal changes to hourly temperature trends. Also removed all chances of rain in the morning, both north of I-70 and south of I-80. Chance pops were maintained for northern WV and MD this afternoon as the boundary and diurnally driven instability could result in a few showers or thunderstorms. Highs are still expected to be around 5 degrees above average, though dew points should slowly fall through the day behind the boundary. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/... Building high pressure should maintain dry weather through early Wednesday. A cold front is progged for a late Wednesday/early Thursday approach and passage returning shower and thunderstorm chances to the region, though instability is progged to be minimal. Upper troughing is expected to to advance across much of the Northeastern CONUS by Thursday afternoon as surface high pressure builds across the Great Lakes region. This should provide cooler temperatures, lower humidity, and generally dry weather. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... The upper trough is progged to persist across the Northeast CONUS through late week as surface high pressure builds, maintaining the cool and dry weather. Upper ridging is progged to build in for the weekend with continued dry weather and a warming trend. && .AVIATION /16Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Restrictions due an area of stratus across se OH and sw PA will improve to VFR by early afternoon. .OUTLOOK /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Restrictions are possible with a cold front Wednesday into Wednesday night. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...None. OH...None. PA...None. WV...None. && $$

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