-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS61 KPBZ 051136
AFDPBZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
636 AM EST WED MAR 5 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
EXPECT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND THE REST OF THE WEEK AS WEAK
DISTURBANCES BRING PERIODIC CLOUD COVER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
NO SGFNT CHGS FOR THE ERLY MRNG UPDT.
PREVIOUS DISC...CLDS HAVE CLEARED S OF I 80...HOWEVER AN
APPROACHING WK SHRTWV WL SPREAD CLDS BACK ACRS THE RGN TDA. NOT
EXPG ANY PCPN TDA AS UPR SPPRT...DEEP MOISTURE...AND LIFT ARE
LACKING. EXPG HIGH TEMPS TO TOP OUT 10-15 DEG BLO SEASONAL AVGS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
WK MD LVL TROFG WL KEEP SOME CLDS ACRS THE RGN TNGT BEFORE EXITING
THU. SFC RIDGING SETS UP THU THRU ERLY SAT WITH DRY WEA EXPD. LOW
PRES DVLPG OVR THE SERN CONUS SHOULD STAY TO OUR SE. THE NAM SOLN
APPEARS TO BE AN OUTLIER BRINGING THIS SYSTEM FURTHER N THAN THE
ECMWF AND GFS. A CDFNT WL SLOWLY APCH THE GT LKS SAT BRINGING
MAINLY RAIN SHWR CHCS LTR IN THE DAY. A WRMG TREND WL CONT INTO
SAT WITH TEMPS RCHG NR OR SLIGHTLY ABV AVG BY FRI AND SAT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY
NIGHT. A RATHER BENIGN PATTERN THEN SETS IN FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. A WEAK FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR RAIN
OR SNOW SHOWERS TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
VFR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A WEAK FRONT WILL CROSS
THE REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH STRATUS VFR CIGS. WINDS
WILL BE NORTH UNDER 10 KTS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL DISSIPATE STRATUS
THIS EVENING WITH WINDS TURNING NORTHEAST UNDER 10 KTS.

.OUTLOOK.../WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
GENERAL VFR EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT MAY BRING
RESTRICTIONS SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY.
-- End Changed Discussion --

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

$$