Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 270509 AAC AFDPBZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 109 AM EDT MON OCT 27 2014 .SYNOPSIS...
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TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY. A COLD FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING SHOWERS AND A RETURN TO COLDER TEMPERATURES.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
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OVERNIGHT PERIOD IN GOOD SHAPE. UPDATED TEMPS WITH LATEST GUIDANCE. STRENGTHENING RIDGE AND SURFACE HIGH WILL PROVIDE SUNSHINE THROUGH PASSING HIGH CLOUDS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS.
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&& .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
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UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL HOLD ON TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE HIGH DRIFTS OFF THE EAST COAST. HIGH CLOUDS WILL THICKEN AND TEMPS WILL REMAIN ABOVE SEASONABLE LEVELS. STRONG COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH OHIO TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN THROUGH THE REST OF THE AREA DURING THE EVENING HOURS. WIDESPREAD SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT. WILL LEAVE IN THE MENTION OF THUNDER RIGHT ALONG THE FRONT AS MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW MARGINAL INSTABILITY AND A NICE AREA OF LOW LEVEL FORCING AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE BOUNDARY. FRONT RACES THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY EVENING AND SHOWERS WILL END IN THE SOUTHEAST LATE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH. A COLDER AND DRIER AIR MASS WILL SETTLE IN OVER THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN COLD POOL WILL DRIFT IN OVER THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT AREA OF STRATOCU TO ACCOMPANY THE COLD POOL ALOFT WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
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&& .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE AREA DRY WITH SEASONABLE TEMPS ON THURSDAY. NEXT SYSTEM WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SHOWER LATE FRIDAY...THEN SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY. NICE SHOT OF COLD AIR FOR THE WEEKEND.
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&& .AVIATION /05Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH MONDAY. WINDS WILL BACK TO THE SOUTH BY MONDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE GREAT LAKES. OUTLOOK.../MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY WITH A LATE TUESDAY COLD FRONT. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...NONE. OH...NONE. PA...NONE. WV...NONE. && $$

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