Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 231532 AAB AFDPBZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 1132 AM EDT TUE SEP 23 2014 .SYNOPSIS... DRY WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WHILE TEMPERATURES BY WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE TO NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... SFC HIPRES CNTRD NEAR KUCP WILL DVLP NEWD TDA AS AN UPR TROF OVER THE COASTAL SERN CONUS CUTS OFF AND BUILDS NWD SLOWLY THRU WED NGT. AT THE SAME TIME...UPR RDG OVER THE NRN PLNS WILL AMPLIFY. TDA...MIXING IN GENLY CLR SKY WILL PROMOTE MAXIMA IN THE MID-UPR 60S. INCRG DEWPTS XPCD TNGT ON LGT ELY WINDS...WHICH WILL SUPPORT THE DVLPMT OF FOG ONCE AGAIN...SPCLY IN RVR VLLYS AND NRN ZONES. SERN CONUS TROF WILL MOVE NWD ALONG THE APLCNS ON WED AS ASSOCIATED COASTAL LOPRES DVLPS TWD THE CHSPK BAY. CI ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROF WILL BGN TO SPREAD NWWD ACRS FCST AREA DURG WED MRNG. PCPN NOT XPCD TO REACH THE FCST AREA THRU WED NGT AS STRONG UPR RDG TO W SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO PREVENT WWD MVMT OF UPR LOW...BUT INCRG CVRG OF BOTH UPR- AND LWR-LVL CLDS SEEMS A GOOD BET GIVEN XPCD TRAJECTORY OF UPR LOW CNTR ALONG APLCNS. SO CLD CVR WAS INCRD WED AFTN-WED NGT...SPCLY ERN HALF OF FCST AREA. INCRG H8/H9 TEMPS WILL SUPPORT AN INCR IN TEMPS FOR WED TO SLGTLY ABV CLIMO AMID DPR MIXING AND STRONG MRNG SUNSHINE. INCRG CLD CVR MAY SUPPRESS FOG DVLPMT WED NGT...SO MENTION OF FOG WAS LMTD TO RVR VLLYS WED NGT...WHERE MSTR CONTENT WILL BE LCLLY ENHANCED. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... UPR RDG WILL AMPLIFY IN THE WRN GRTLKS RGN THU AND FRI...PROMOTING INCRG HGTS AND LGT NWLY-NLY FLOW IN THE OHVLY. SFC HIPRES AND A TREND TWD GENLY SUNNY SKY WILL SUPPORT INCRG TEMPS AND DRY WX THU AND FRI. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... TEMPERATURES WILL HOVER BETWEEN 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TRANSITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. HAVE INTRODUCED MENTION OF PRECIPITATION AS MODELS SHOW GOOD CONTINUITY WITH PREVIOUS RUNS IN SHOWING AN AREA OF LOW PRESS RE IMPACTING THE REGION LATE THIS WEEKEND. && .AVIATION /15Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... LGT WIND AND CLR SKY XPCD AT ALL TERMINALS TDA. PSBLTY OF VSBY RESTRICTIONS EXISTS TNGT OWING TO VLLY FOG. ANY FOG WILL LIFT BY 13-14 UTC AND WILL BE REPLACED WITH GENLY CLR SKY WED MRNG. MID- AND UPR-LVL CLDS WILL INCR ON WED AS UPR LOW IN SERN CONUS BUILDS NWD ALONG APLCNS. PSBLTY OF VSBY RESTRICTIONS AGAIN WED NGT RESULTING FROM VLLY FOG...BUT ANY FOG WILL BE PATCHIER THAN THE FOG TNGT. OUTLOOK.../THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESULT IN VFR CONDITIONS THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. && .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...NONE. OH...NONE. PA...NONE. WV...NONE. && $$ UPDATE...KRAMAR

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