Area Forecast Discussion
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000 FXUS61 KPBZ 041220 AFDPBZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 820 AM EDT FRI SEP 4 2015 .SYNOPSIS... WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
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SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVER OHIO WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS MORNING. HAVE MADE ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS AND TIMING BASED ON THE CURRENT RADAR TRENDS AND THE HRRR...WHICH SEEMS TO BE HANDLING THIS WELL. RESIDUAL OUTFLOW FROM THE COMPLEX SHOULD HELP TO SUPPORT ADDITIONAL CONVECTION THIS AFTERNOON. WILL MAINTAIN THE SLIGHT TO LOW CHANCE POPS THAT ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST. TEMPERATURES WERE FORECAST AT PERSISTENCE AS THERE IS NO CHANGE EXPECTED TO THE WARM AND HUMID AIR.
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&& .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/... WARMTH AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE TO PLAGUE THE REGION THIS WEEKEND AS BROAD SURFACE HIGH IS PROJECTED TO BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS PA UNDER A STRENGTHENING UPPER RIDGE. INCREASED SUBSIDENCE AND WARMTH ALOFT SHOULD INHIBIT DIURNAL CONVECTION. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... THE STRONG MID/UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED TO REMAIN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH CONTINUED WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS. RELIEF FROM THE QUITE WARM CONDITIONS MAY COME WITH COLD FRONT LATER WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...AS WELL AS AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS. && .AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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AFTER MORNING FOG BURNS OFF...EXPECT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF DIURNAL CONVECTION IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON BUT WITH LITTLE CONFIDENCE THAT ANY ONE STORM MAY IMPACT THE PORTS...HAVE OPTED TO LEAVE TS MENTION OUT FOR NOW. OUTLOOK...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... GENERAL VFR WITH BRIEF RESTRICTIONS IN EARLY MORNING FOG IS ANTICIPATED EACH DAY.
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&& .PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MD...NONE. OH...NONE. PA...NONE. WV...NONE. && $$

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