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000
FXPQ60 PGUM 191839
AFDPQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
439 AM CHST THU JUN 20 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES HAVE BEEN RECORDED NEARBY THIS MORNING
AND ASCAT ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK TROUGH JUST MOVING ACROSS THE
AREA. RADAR SHOWED WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLIER THIS MORNING
BUT COVERAGE HAS DECREASED SLIGHTLY RECENTLY. SATELLITE SHOWS
PATCHY CLOUDINESS ACROSS OUR REGION WITH MORE ACTIVE WEATHER
MAINLY SOUTH OF 10N ACROSS MUCH OF MICRONESIA...AND A TUTT CELL
CENTERED NEAR 17N140E IS DRIFTING WESTWARD.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
ADDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOR TODAYS FORECAST. WEATHER FOR THE
LOCAL ZONES COULD BE CHANGEABLE IN THE COMING DAYS. THE TUTT CELL
STILL HAS SUBTLE AFFECTS ON MARIANAS WEATHER BESIDES THE AFFECTS
FROM THE PASSING SURFACE TROUGH. MOST MODELS INDICATE WEATHER WILL
REMAIN ACTIVE ACROSS MICRONESIA. ALTHOUGH VARIOUS MODEL SOLUTIONS
DIFFER IN THE DETAILS...A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL LIKELY
DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS FROM NORTH OF CHUUK AND POHNPEI
TOWARD THE MARIANAS.

&&

.MARINE...
LOCAL BUOYS SHOW COMBINED SEAS RANGING FROM 3 FT UP TO NEAR 6 FT.
WIND AND WAVE GRIDS WERE IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO CHANGES WERE MADE.

&&

.EASTERN MICRONESIA...WILL BE SENT LATER.

&&

.WESTERN MICRONESIA...WILL BE SENT LATER.

&&

.GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GU...NONE.
MARIANAS WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

SIMPSON