Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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000 FXUS62 KRAH 180604 AFDRAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 100 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2018 .SYNOPSIS... Arctic high pressure will build into the region today into Friday. The high pressure will shift to our south Saturday bringing a milder SW flow for the weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 100 AM Thursday... ...Winter Weather Advisory for slick roads through Noon Thursday... ...Another Winter Weather Advisory for Black Ice is likely for Thursday night... Any lingering light snow and flurries are quickly fading away early this morning. Roads remained snow and ice packed over most of the region after the big snow event over the Piedmont. Arctic air has poured in behind the system and will bring lows down in the 5-15 range for much of the region this morning. Sunny skies with a westerly flow at 10-15 mph expected today. Highs will only reach 37-42, except mid 40s in the SE. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... As of 120 PM Wednesday... H5 west to northwest flow and surface ridging will result in mainly clear weather. Temperatures will start very cold with highs on Thursday in the upper 30s to lower 40s. After lows in the teens to lower 20s Thursday night, temperatures will moderate to near seasonal normals on Friday. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 120 PM Wednesday... The warmer weather will continue into the weekend as the upper level pattern transitions to more ridging in the SE and a trough in the western US. A storm system will move northeastward from the central plains Sunday to the western Great Lakes on Monday. This system`s attendant cold front will cross our region Monday night with a chance of showers. Temperatures in the 50s Saturday afternoon will climb to around 60 on Sunday, and 60 to 65 on Monday. After the cold front passage, temperatures Tuesday and Wednesday will fall back into the 50s. && .AVIATION /06z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 1250 AM Thursday... 24-Hour TAF Period: A return to VFR conditions is expected between 07-10Z for all the region. VFR conditions expected under high pressure today through Friday. Looking ahead: VFR conditions will persist through Saturday. Forecast soundings hint at some low-level moisture Saturday night, otherwise the next chance of sub-VFR conditions will be Monday. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Weather Advisory until noon EST today for NCZ007>011- 021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Badgett NEAR TERM...Badgett SHORT TERM...Franklin LONG TERM...Franklin AVIATION...Badgett

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