Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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000 FXUS62 KRAH 231704 AFDRAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 103 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2016 .SYNOPSIS... High Pressure will extend across the region through the week. Temperatures and humidities will gradually rise through late week. && .NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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As of 100 PM Tuesday... Subtropical ridging to our south begins to extend/amplify north into the area today. At the surface, dry air surface ridge in place across the Mid-Atlantic States will retain lower dewpoint air over the Carolinas, resulting in comfortable RH values for late August. Seasonable highs in the mid 80s north to around 90 south. Lows a few degrees warmer than this morning, generally in the lower to mid 60s.
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&& .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... As of 210 AM Tuesday... Mid-level ridging will strengthen, centered over the southern mid- Atlantic states (NC/VA) mid to late week. This will ensure dry weather and warming daytime temperatures, warming a few degrees each day. Expect Mostly sunny skies with highs 86-91 Wednesday. Mostly clear Wednesday night with lows in the 60s. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 302 AM Tuesday... Surface high pressure off the mid-Atlantic Coast will extend southeastward into the area through Thursday, as upper level ridging over the Southeast strengthens through the end of the week. A weak cold front will drop as far south as VA Thursday and Friday, but will weaken as the upper ridge deflects upper level energy east across the Ohio Valley and off the Canadian Maritimes. Forecast will remain dry with gradually increasing temperatures into the 90s by Friday and into early next week. && .AVIATION /12Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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As of 120 AM Tuesday... 24 Hour TAF Period: High confidence of VFR conditions through the TAF period with high pressure in control. Late night MVFR to IFR ground fog is possible around KRWI between 08Z-12Z. Outlook...VFR conditions and light winds will prevail through mid to late week with strong subtropical ridging over the area. A weakening and moisture starved dry cold front will approach the area from the northwest late Friday/Saturday and will likely stall before dissipating.
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&& .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Badgett NEAR TERM...CBL SHORT TERM...Badgett LONG TERM...mlm AVIATION...CBL

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