Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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000 FXUS62 KRAH 240652 AFDRAH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 250 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2016 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will extend across the region through the week. Temperatures and humidities will gradually rise through late week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 145 AM Wednesday... 1025+ mb surface high pressure will continue to extend from off the mid-Atlantic coast southwest across NC/SC today and tonight. The high will gradually shift eastward with time. There continued to be some mid level moisture trapped under the subsidence inversion in place over inland areas of NC (see previous discussion). This inversion will persist into the afternoon with scattered mid level clouds likely continuing. Partly to mostly sunny skies today will yield highs around those observed Tuesday. Expect 86-91. As the ridge axis gradually shifts east tonight, a continued slow rise in dew points and humidities will occur. This will yield lows mostly in the mid to upper 60s tonight. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 145 AM Wednesday... The surface ridge axis will push offshore leading to a WSW flow aiding warming as the mid level ridging strengthens over the southern Appalachians. Continued mainly sunny, dry, and becoming hot Thursday. Highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s N to S. Lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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As of 245 AM Wednesday... Chances of rain remain miniscule in the extended period. A weak and moisture-starved surface front edges southeast and into NC on Friday and progresses south of the area by later Saturday. Concurrently, a strong upper ridge builds north and parks directly overhead through the weekend. High temps on Friday will max out in the low to mid 90s, and very modest post-frontal cool air advection in easterly flow over the weekend will be offset by the building ridge aloft to allow highs to reach 90 to 95 Sat and Sun. The upper ridge slowly deamplifies, but maintains its dominance through midweek, with dry and slightly above normal temperatures - within a couple degrees north or south of 90 - lingering through mid week.
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&& .AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 150 AM Wednesday... 24 Hour TAF Period: There is a high confidence of VFR conditions continuing through the 24 hour TAF period with high pressure in control. Outlook...VFR conditions and light winds will generally prevail through mid to late week with strong subtropical ridging over the area. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Badgett NEAR TERM...Badgett SHORT TERM...Badgett LONG TERM...mlm AVIATION...Badgett

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