Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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000 FXUS61 KRLX 300616 AFDRLX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 214 AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2016 .SYNOPSIS... Weak high pressure today. A stronger front on Wednesday ushering in a cooler end to the week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
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As of 215 AM Tuesday... Weak high pressure over the area today...but some moisture remains in the mountains. Therefore...can not rule out a few afternoon or evening showers or thunderstorms. Will continue with small pops in the mountains.
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&& .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 150 PM Monday... High pressure will have a firm hold on the Region through Wednesday. This results in another hot day to start this time period. Do anticipate the bulk of the area to remain dry Tuesday night into Wednesday morning with limited moisture. One exception is the Mountains during the heating of the day. A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible. A cold front will approach from the northwest Wednesday night into Thursday. A few showers and thunderstorms will move across the Ohio Valley. However, once the front passes by, cooler and drier weather will be a welcome change. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 150 PM Monday... Started with WPC for this forecast. Once the cold front moves across the area, high pressure will be in control for the end of the week into the weekend. This will bring dry weather. High temperatures will gradually increase over the weekend. Starting on Friday, expect temperatures in the lower 60s in the high elevations to the 70s in the lowland. Throughout the weekend, temperatures will climb back into the upper 80s west to the lower 70s in the mountains. Overnight lows will be in the 50s and 60s. && .AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
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As of 130 AM Tuesday... Expect dense river valley fog throughout much of the area...forming first in the mountains and northern WV. After the fog lifts this morning...expect a VFR cumulus field in the mountains and portions of the coal fields...with clear skies elsewhere. VFR skies will prevail Tuesday evening. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing and density of fog could vary. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. DATE TUE 08/30/16 UTC 1HRLY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 EDT 1HRLY 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H M L L L L H H H M HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M EKN CONSISTENCY L L L L L L L L M H H M PKB CONSISTENCY M L L L L L L L H H H M CKB CONSISTENCY H M L L L L L L H H H M AFTER 06Z WEDNESDAY... Brief IFR possible in showers and thunderstorms Wednesday. IFR possible in areas of fog Wednesday morning.
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&& .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JB/RPY NEAR TERM...RPY SHORT TERM...JB LONG TERM...JB AVIATION...RPY

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