Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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725 FXUS61 KRLX 231732 AFDRLX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 132 PM EDT Sat Sep 23 2017 .SYNOPSIS...
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High pressure dominates through early next week with dry conditions and above normal temperatures. Cold front approaches middle to end of next week. Cooler airmass to follow.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
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As of 135 PM Sunday... No significant changes were necessary to the forecast in the near term period. High pressure surface and aloft remains in control, with above normal temperatures, and dry conditions. Expecting another cool, clear night on tap again, with areas of fog developing, burning off by mid morning Sunday, with another sunny and hot day on tap.
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&& .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... As of 225 AM Saturday... Very few changes to the forecast for the short term as upper level ridging remains in control over the Ohio Valley through early next week. Temperatures remain well above normal and dry conditions will persist. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 225 AM Saturday... Operational long range models remain consistent in a significant pattern change upcoming for the end of the week. Strong cold front to pass late Wednesday/Wednesday night, providing the next chances for showers, and a cooler airmass to follow with 850mb temperatures 10-15C cooler. && .AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
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18Z Saturday thru 18Z Sunday... As of 130 PM Saturday... Mainly VFR conditions with light surface winds through 06Z. LIFR/VLIFR fog is expected to develop again after 06Z in favored river valleys. Any fog will burn off between 13-14Z Sunday for a return of VFR conditions with light surface winds. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Fog timing and restrictions may vary from forecast. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. UTC 1HRLY 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 EDT 1HRLY 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M L M HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M M BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M M EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M L L PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M M CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M M M AFTER 18Z SUNDAY... VLIFR in valley fog each morning through Wednesday.
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&& .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...SL/MAC NEAR TERM...SL SHORT TERM...26 LONG TERM...26 AVIATION...SL

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