Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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000 FXUS61 KRLX 211746 AFDRLX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 146 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2015 .SYNOPSIS...
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A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH FEW SHOWERS POSSIBLE. HIGH PRESSURE TAKES CONTROL LATER FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.
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&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
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LOW PRESSURE JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AND OFF THE EAST COAST TONIGHT. WEAK RIDGING WILL MOVE IN TONIGHT AND BRING DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. LINGERING MOISTURE WILL KEEP CLOUDS IN FOR MUCH OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS BEFORE A SLOW CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP DOWN FROM THE NORTH DURING THE DAY TOMORROW. KEPT SLGT CHC POPS IN MAINLY NORTH BEFORE IT WASHES OUT FRIDAY NIGHT. TEMPS WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
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&& .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITHTHE FRONT. HOWEVER...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AROUND SUNSET. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FRIDAY NIGHT AND BRING DRY WEATHER TO THE REGION. THE HIGH AND DRY WEATHER SHOULD THEN CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. LATEST GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE CLOSE TO PREVIOUS HIGHS AND LOWS FOR THIS PERIOD...SO ONLY MADE SOME TWEAKS. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST...AND HAVE NOT MADE MANY CHANGES. LOW PRESSURE WILL SET UP ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THE WARM FRONT MOVING NORTH ON SUNDAY AND REMAINING TO THE NORTH AFTERWARDS. WHILE THE COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN TO THE WEST...THE FRONT SHOULD BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. ONCE THE WARM FRONT PASSES TO THE NORTH...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. && .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
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LIFR TO MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE AND LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH TONIGHT. DRIER AIR WILL WORK ITS WAY IN LATE TONIGHT AND VSBYS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE TO VFR BY THIS EVENING. LIFR TO MVFR CIGS WILL ALSO IMPROVE TO MAINLY MVFR CIGS LATER TONIGHT AND EVENTUALLY IMPROVE TO VFR DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS OF FRIDAY. WEAK COLD FRONT TO OUR NORTH WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTHWARD OVER THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA MAILY PKB TO EKN LINE BY MIDDAY FRIDAY. SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS FRONT. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE WITH A NORTHERLY COMPONENT TO IT THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. AFTER 18Z FRIDAY... POSSIBLE MVFR SHOWERS POSSIBLE WITH SINKING COLD FRONT OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
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&& WV...NONE. OH...NONE. KY...NONE. VA...NONE. && .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...NONE. OH...NONE. KY...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JSH/JS NEAR TERM...JS SHORT TERM...JSH LONG TERM...99 AVIATION...JS

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