Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KRLX 120626 AFDRLX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 226 AM EDT Sat Aug 12 2017 .SYNOPSIS...
-- Changed Discussion --
A cold front crosses today with some showers and storms expected. High pressure in charge Sunday. Next low pressure system in the vicinity Monday into Tuesday.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
-- Changed Discussion --
As of 0200 AM Saturday... A Cold front over Southeast Ohio into central Kentucky will continues to move eastward today. Showers and Thunderstorms associated with the front are just moving into the area early this morning and will progress eastward and become more numerous later this morning and this afternoon. The front is expected to exit the area by late afternoon and early evening. The cooler airmass behind the front will ease in overnight and temperatures will fall into the 50s.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... As of 230 AM Friday... With a cold front way south of the area, high pressure to the north remains in control for the most part Sunday. However, guidance shows a weak sfc low pressure system developing along the cold front and move east, south of the area by Monday morning. The proximity of these features will result in isolated showers or storms across the extreme southern portions of WV and along the eastern mountains. Broad high pressure continues to build across the MS and OH Valleys extending east into the Mid Atlantic states. This high pressure will bring dry and clear skies Sunday and Sunday night. The NAM shows a sfc low pressure moving overhead by Munday night. This, and the afternoon heating could produce mainly showers across the central and eastern mountains Monday and Tuesday. The blend of models suggests widespread chance PoPs Monday night due to the aforementioned low pressure system. Adjusted PoPs keeping dry most of southeast OH. Temperatures will be running just below normal through the short term period. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 248 PM Friday... Expect dry conditions to spread from west to east on Tuesday as a high pressure takes control. Slight chance for showers remains Wednesday and Wednesday night, until another system brings more active weather by the end of the week. && .AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
As of 0200 AM Saturday... MVFR conditions at all sites except CRW and BKW early this morning. Expect all sites to go MVFR/IFR in Fog and Cigs as a cold front over SE Ohio and central KY continues to move eastward. This front will should be on the Ohio river by 12z and from CKB to CRW line by 18Z and exit the area by 00Z. Expect MVFR/IFR showers and thunderstorms to become more numerous as the front passes through the region today. AS the Skies clear behind the front tonight and with plenty of moisture around, expect MVFR/IFR fog to form after 03Z. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of cold front and development of shwrs/tstms may vary today. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. DATE SAT 08/12/17 UTC 1HRLY 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 EDT 1HRLY 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 CRW CONSISTENCY H H M M M M M M M M M M HTS CONSISTENCY M M M M L M L L M M H M BKW CONSISTENCY M M M M M M M M M M M L EKN CONSISTENCY H M M M L L L L L M M L PKB CONSISTENCY L L L L L L L M M M M M CKB CONSISTENCY H H M M M M L M M M M L AFTER 06Z SUNDAY... IFR fog possible overnight with clearing skies.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...None. OH...None. KY...None. VA...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JS/MZ NEAR TERM...JS SHORT TERM...ARJ LONG TERM...ARJ/MZ AVIATION...JS

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.