


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA
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-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --601 FXUS61 KRNK 021051 AFDRNK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 651 AM EDT Wed Jul 2 2025 .SYNOPSIS...-- Changed Discussion --A cold front will move east keeping a few showers and storms around today mainly east of the mountains. Slightly cooler and less humid air will move into the region by Thursday, followed by a seasonally warm holiday weekend. No rain is expected over the 4th of July weekend, but it looks like the typical summertime daily afternoon thunderstorm pattern returns for next week.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 225 AM EDT Wednesday... Key Messages: 1) Showers/storms will linger mainly east of the mountains today as front slows up. 2) Drier air will be moving in from the northwest this afternoon into tonight. Pre-frontal showers across the Piedmont will slowly scatter out this morning but more showers ahead of the main front entering the WV area will be more scattered through the morning. Another wave aloft expected will bring another round of scattered showers and storms along/east of the Blue Ridge today with higher pops along/east of US Highway 29 from Lynchburg to Danville, then south into the northwest Piedmont of NC. Airmass starts to stabilize so not expecting severe weather or flooding today. The front drifts to the coast tonight.Dry air aloft should gradually enter the area this afternoon in the mountains, so expect activity to diminish fairly quickly Wednesday evening. With clearing skies Wed night and somewhat cooler temps and wet ground, not out of the question to have areas of fog form, and may be dense, especially in the mountains. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... As of 200 AM EDT Wednesday... Key Message: 1) Expect dry and seasonably warm 4th. Surface high slides across the area this period with 5h ridge working in from the west. Should keep us dry with temperatures running around 5 degrees above normal. This is going to provide for good weather for any fireworks activities. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 200 AM EDT Wednesday... Key Messages: 1) Temperatures and humidity creep back up into next week 2) Storm coverage will be scattered early next week. Surface high pressure stays in the general area into early next week but slides south ahead of northern stream system by Tuesday. Flow turns more southwest increasing RH, and the chance of diurnal storms. With high pressure aloft into Monday storm coverage will be widely scattered and temps will be about 5-10 degrees above normal. A front pushes toward the mid-Atlantic Tuesday which bring a jump in pops to better chances for storms. && .AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...-- Changed Discussion --As of 648 AM EDT Wednesday... Expect a few showers/storms near LYH/DAN today, otherwise forecast should be dry. Any sub-VFR conditions at the start should improve to VFR later this morning, and remain that through much of the TAF period. Could see some fog late tonight into Thu morning especially at LWB, so have LIFR vsbys there as usually occurs after it clears out and the ground is wet in the summer. At the moment kept it out of BCB but not out of the question fog forms here as well late tonight. EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK... VFR conditions are expected outside of morning valley fog through this weekend.-- End Changed Discussion --&& .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...None. NC...None. WV...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...PM/WP NEAR TERM...WP SHORT TERM...CG/WP LONG TERM...CG/WP AVIATION...PM/WP