


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA
220 FXUS66 KSEW 240355 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 855 PM PDT Mon Jun 23 2025 .SYNOPSIS...A drying and warming trend is expected to continue through tomorrow. By midweek, weak systems will begin to move through the area bringing light rain and cooler temperatures to most. A warming trend is in store for the coming weekend. && .UPDATE...Mostly clear skies continue across the region this evening. No major changes were made to the forecast below (just an update to the aviation section). HPR && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...The skies have mostly cleared up for a pleasant afternoon, with temperatures in the region largely in the mid 60s to low 70s. Slightly warmer temperatures are expected tomorrow as the offshore ridge nudges a little closer to the coast. Temperatures in the mid to upper 70s are expected. Westerly winds will pick up slightly on Tuesday afternoon ahead of a weak shortwave trough that will arrive on Wednesday. By midweek, the pattern changes to reflect the influence of a series of shortwave troughs that will move through the region into Friday. Rain is likely to begin early Wednesday morning, with a noticeable cool off into the 60s. Cloudy skies and shower activity will persist throughout the day. Flow aloft looks to become more zonal on Thursday for continued shower activity (though likely more focused in the Cascades). .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...Friday will feature the beginning of a weekend drying and warming trend as showers taper off. A more focused ridge will begin to build and increase the likelihood for warmer temperatures into next weekend. By Sunday, the influence of the ridge will be more noticeable as the temperatures climb steadily into the low 80s, even the upper 80s in the Southwest Interior. A degree or two of warming further is expected on Monday as well. Details on the exact temperatures are forthcoming as more information becomes apparent. 21 && .AVIATION...Upper level flow turns southwesterly tonight as an upper level ridge over the area exits the region and an upper level shortwave approaches. Expect VFR conditions to continue this evening with streaming high clouds overheat. Stratus will push inland along the coast again overnight, but does not look to make it into the interior past the South Sound at this time. MVFR conditions will be possible in morning stratus, with conditions likely improving back towards VFR throughout the morning hours. Winds generally out of the W/NW at 4-8 kts this afternoon will ease overnight and transition back to the S/SW in the morning, likely between 15-18Z. KSEA...Variable high clouds but otherwise VFR conditions will continue tonight. Northerly winds ease late this evening, with light southwesterly winds Tuesday morning. && .MARINE...Mostly light winds will persist across the waters tonight as high pressure builds into the coastal waters from the northeastern Pacific. Onshore flow will continue over the next several days, with westerly pushes expected down the Strait of Juan de Fuca each evening. The push on Tuesday evening looks to bring the next round of small craft headlines to the central and eastern Strait, with probabilities currently indicating a 50-70 percent chance of gusts exceeding 25 kt. A weak frontal system will move into the waters on Wednesday, causing winds across the majority of the area waters to transition to the south. High pressure building back over the waters late in the week and into the weekend will allow for winds to shift back to the north and approach small craft strength at times. Seas will generally persist between 3-5 ft across the coastal waters through much of the week. 14 && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...None. PZ...None. && $$