Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 222102
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
302 PM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 300 PM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

Winter storm starting to wind down over the area at 20Z as upper
low over northern Missouri tracks toward western Illinois. Light
snow expected to linger over eastern parts of the area into the
evening before ending towards midnight with western parts of the
area done by 00Z. Only small accumulations less than an inch
expected after 00Z. Winds will be another matter, remaining
strong into the evening then gradually diminishing overnight.

Upstream observations would suggest the wind will likely produce
some visibility restrictions in blowing snow for a while and will
consider replacing headlines with Winter Weather Advisory in
areas that experienced significant snow and wind today. Received
reports of stranded vehicles from several locations this afternoon
and continued hazardous travel will be likely into tonight before
winds diminish significantly.

Rest of the period looks quiet weatherwise with a warming trend
through the work week as upper ridge moves into the region.
Temperatures will be the main challenge being quite variable
during this time due to the wide range of snow cover across the
area. Expect areas with deep snow cover to trend below guidance
values with daytime highs having trouble getting out of the mid
30s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 300 PM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

Extended period looks quiet for now with warming through Friday
followed by cooling over the weekend. GFS and EURO do differ in
solutions however over the weekend with more troughing indicated
by EURO model. Otherwise, trend toward warmer conditions return
for early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1120 AM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

IFR to LIFR conditions continue at KOFK with KLNK and KOMA varying
between IFR and MVFR. Think KOMA will begin to see more of a
turnover to snow as winds have come around to the northwest,
bringing cooler temps. Have reduced snowfall amounts at both KOMA
and KLNK with stronger forcing keeping the higher amounts out of
the airports. Visibilities will remain lower through the afternoon
and evening hours before improving as the winds subside overnight.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for NEZ052-053.

     Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for NEZ067-
     068-088>092.

     Blizzard Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for NEZ011-012-
     015>018-030>034-042>045-050-051-065-066-078.

IA...Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for IAZ055.

     Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for IAZ056-
     069-079-090.

     Blizzard Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for IAZ043.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Fobert
LONG TERM...Fobert
AVIATION...Kern


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