Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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000
FXZS60 NSTU 200059
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
159 PM SST SUN OCT 19 2014

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
BULK OF MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH TO THE WEST OF
SAVAII ISLAND. LATEST SOLUTIONS SHOW THE MOISTURE FROM THIS TROUGH
REMAINING TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE TERRITORY THROUGH THE SHORT
TERM. EASTERLIES ARE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING AS PRESSURE GRADIENTS
ACROSS THE ISLANDS BECOME MORE LAX.

.LONG TERM...
WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH IS EXPECTED
TO DEEPEN INTO A WEAK LOW NEAR FIJI. THIS WILL BRING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THIS WEAK LOW
DRIFTING SLOWLY TO THE EAST...BRINGING ASSOCIATED MOISTURE ACROSS
THE SAMOAN ISLANDS BY LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. BY
THE WEEKEND...EXPECT A DOWNWARD TREND IN SHOWERS AS MOST OF THE
MOISTURE WILL BE CONCENTRATED OVER SURROUNDING WATERS.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS WILL REMAIN ABOVE ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY
NIGHT AS THE SOUTHEAST SWELL CONTINUE TO AFFECT COASTAL WATERS.
LATEST SOLUTIONS SHOW THESE HEIGHTS PEAKING TODAY THROUGH MONDAY
AS THE PERIOD AND HEIGHTS GRADUALLY DIMINISH. NO OTHER SEAS OR
WINDS EXPECTED TO REACH ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT

&&

$$
LUTU-MCMOORE





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