Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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AXUS74 KMOB 020001
DGTMOB
ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-021215-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
601 PM CST THU DEC 1 2016

...DROUGHT CONTINUES TO WORSEN OVER THE DEEP SOUTH...

SYNOPSIS...THE LATEST U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR INDICATES THAT MUCH OF THE LOCAL
AREA IS NOW EXPERIENCING EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

THE DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFIES DROUGHT WITHIN ONE OF THESE FIVE CATEGORIES:

D0...ABNORMALLY DRY
D1...MODERATE DROUGHT
D2...SEVERE DROUGHT
D3...EXTREME DROUGHT
D4...EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

A LENGTHY PERIOD OF ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS HAS RESULTED IN
WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS. SINCE SEPTEMBER 27TH...MOBILE ALABAMA
WENT THROUGH A RECORD TYING BONE-DRY SPELL OF 42 CONSECUTIVE DAYS
BEFORE RAIN RETURNED. THIS EQUALED THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF
CONSECUTIVE RAINFREE DAYS FOR MOBILE SET WAY BACK IN 1874 AND IN FACT
ENDED ON SAME DAY AS THAT IN 1874...NOVEMBER 7TH. 41 CONSECUTIVE
RAINFREE DAYS AT PENSACOLA FLORIDA CAME IN 2ND IN THE RECORD BOOKS.
EVERGREEN ALABAMA MIDDLETON FIELD SET AN ALL TIME RECORD IN CONSECUTIVE
RAINFREE PERIOD AT A WHOPPING 62 DAYS ENDING NOVEMBER 28TH. THIS
SMASHES THE OLD RECORD 33 DAYS STRAIGHT ENDING AUGUST 25TH, 2007. 37
CONSECUTIVE RAINFREE DAYS AT LEAKESVILLE MISSISSIPPI...ENDING
NOVEMBER 1ST...RANKS 6TH LONGEST IN DRY SPELLS.

ENDING THE MONTH OF NOVEMBER...SOME RELIEF TO THE PARCHED GROUND
CAME AS AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT BROUGHT 2 WAVES OF RAINFALL ACROSS
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. ALTHOUGH RAINS CAME BACK INTO THE
PICTURE...NOVEMBER RAINFALL TURNED OUT TO BE SEVERAL INCHES BELOW
NORMAL. ALSO TAKE NOTE...THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS DID NOT MAKE IT IN
TIME FOR THE CUTOFF FOR THIS WEEK`S DROUGHT UPDATE.

SOME OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS (INCHES) FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI, SOUTHWEST ALABAMA, AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA FOR NOVEMBER
2016 COMPARED TO NORMALS AND RESULTING DEPARTURES...

STATION         OBSERVED (INCHES)    NORMAL (INCHES)   DEPARTURE (INCHES)

PINE APPLE AL   2.44                 5.13              DOWN 2.69
MOBILE AL       2.05                 5.13              DOWN 3.08
LEAKESVILLE MS  2.00                 5.03              DOWN 3.03
EVERGREEN AL    1.44                 5.18              DOWN 3.74
PENSACOLA FL    0.86                 4.73              DOWN 3.87
CRESTVIEW FL    0.43                 4.63              DOWN 4.20

NORMAL PRECIPITATION EXPECTED (INCHES) AND LATEST DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL
(INCHES) JANUARY 1ST THROUGH NOVEMBER 30TH...

LEAKESVILLE MS    58.01  DOWN 14.34
CRESTVIEW FL      58.61  DOWN 11.41
MOBILE AL         61.09  DOWN 6.83
PENSACOLA FL      60.72  DOWN 5.72
PINE APPLE AL     51.10  DOWN 5.21
EVERGREEN AL      54.32  DOWN 4.47

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

THE LATEST UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE (USDA) REPORT
INDICATES THAT AGRICULTURAL CONDITIONS REMAIN DIRE. MANY PONDS AND
STREAMS HAVE DRIED UP AND PASTURES ARE GONE. MANY LIVESTOCK
PRODUCERS HAVE SOLD ANIMALS IN ORDER TO REDUCE THE NUMBER TO FEED
THIS WINTER. HAY AND FEED SUPPLIES ARE BEING BROUGHT IN FROM OUTSIDE
THE REGION. STOCK PONDS AND SMALL STREAMS HAVE ALSO GONE DRY.
SOYBEANS SHATTERING.

100 PERCENT OF BOTH TOPSOIL AND SUBSOIL MOISTURE IN ALABAMA
WAS RATED SHORT OR VERY SHORT...DRY OR VERY DRY RESPECTIVELY.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

RAINS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BROUGHT SOME RELIEF TO WILDLAND
FIREFIGHTERS BUT WITH EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN PLACE...THE FIRE
DANGER RISK REMAINS EXTREMELY HIGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST.
KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDICES (KBDI) GENERALLY RANGE FROM A LITTLE
OVER 500 OVER THE INTERIOR OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND 600 TO 800 OVER THE GULF COAST. VALUES
ABOVE 500 INDICATE SEVERE FIRE DANGER.

THE ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISSION REPORTS THAT THE GOVERNOR HAS SIGNED
A DROUGHT EMERGENCY DECLARATION WHICH BANS OUTSIDE BURNING OVER THE
ENTIRE STATE OF ALABAMA. FOR MISSISSIPPI...BURN BANS ARE IN PLACE
OVER MOST OF THE STATE. GO TO THE FOLLOWING LINK WWW.MFC.MS.GOV/BURN-
BANS FOR MORE INFORMATION.

SINCE OCTOBER 1ST...OVER ONE THOUSAND WILDFIRES HAVE OCCURRED OVER
ALABAMA AND HAVE BURNED OVER ELEVEN THOUSAND ACRES. WILDFIRES WERE
MOSTLY CONTAINED ACCORDING TO THE ALABAMA FORESTRY COMMISSION. SOME
OF THE WILDFIRES HAVE BEEN STARTED ALONG AREA HIGHWAYS AND
INTERSTATES FROM SPARKS GENERATED BY THINGS SUCH AS CHAINS DRAGGING
ON THE PAVEMENT OR TIRES COMING APART WITH SPARKS BEING GENERATED
FROM EXPOSED TIRE RIMS.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...

LISTED BELOW ARE CURRENT DISCHARGE IN CUBIC FEET PER SECOND (CFS)...
POOL STAGES...AND CLASS WHEN COMPARED TO NORMAL:

LOCK AND DAM (L/D)     DISCHARGE     12/1/16 STAGE(FT)    CLASS

CLAIBORNE L/D           9420 CFS          34.85            BELOW NORMAL
COFFEEVILLE L/D         7710 CFS          33.09            NORMAL

SOCIETAL IMPACTS...MOST RIVERS ARE RUNNING LOW WITH RIVER STAGES
REPORTING LEVELS AT 3 TO 7 FEET. AS FAR AS WATER RESTRICTIONS...CONTACT
YOUR LOCAL WATER BOARD FOR SPECIFIC INFORMATION REGARDING IF THERE
ARE ANY VOLUNTARY OR MANDATORY WATER RESTRICTIONS FOR YOUR AREA.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

AN UPCOMING PATTERN CHANGE FAVORS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SOUTHERN
STREAM LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS SATURDAY DECEMBER 3RD,
WHICH LIFTS NORTH NORTHEAST UP ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH LATE IN THE DAY
MONDAY DECEMBER 5TH. THIS FEATURE BRINGS NEXT POTENTIAL OF BENEFICIAL
RAINFALL TO THE LOCAL AREA. DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY EASE BY NEXT WEEK.

THE LONGER RANGE OUTLOOK FOR DECEMBER THROUGH FEBRUARY HOLDS AT
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION...TYPICAL OF A LA NINA CLIMATIC WEATHER PATTERN.
THUS...THE LATEST SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK THROUGH FEBRUARY MAINTAINS
PERSISTENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER THE DEEP SOUTH.

UPDATE STATEMENT...THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND THURSDAY
DECEMBER 8TH.

$$


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