Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Mobile AL
646 AM CST Fri Feb 16 2018

...Drought Conditions Improve Over the Central Gulf Coast...

Synopsis...The latest U.S. Drought Monitor indicates that severe
drought over the eastern portions of the local area over the past
couple of weeks has been eliminated. Although much of the eastern
half of the local area continues to experience lingering abnormally
dry to moderate drought conditions, recent excessive rains has caused
short term drought conditions to relax in some of these locales.

The Drought Monitor classifies drought within one of these five categories:

D0...Abnormally Dry
D1...Moderate Drought
D2...Severe Drought
D3...Extreme Drought
D4...Exceptional Drought

Climate Summary...

The following is a listing of precipitation amounts (inches) for the
month of February 2018 ending on the 15th.

Station           Observed

Mobile AL           4.89
Evergreen AL        2.75
Pensacola FL        9.31
Crestview FL        7.45
Destin FL           11.14

The following is a listing of observed vs. normal precipitation expected
(inches) and departures from normal from January 1st to February 15th, 2018.

Station           Observed        Normal        Departure

Mobile AL           8.45          8.38           +0.07
Evergreen AL        4.95          7.70           -2.75
Pensacola FL        12.43         7.31           +5.12
Crestview FL        9.30          8.56           +0.74
Destin FL           14.50         7.60           +6.90


Agricultural Impacts...

Winter crops and forage grasses likely to show some recovery. Some
pond water increase due to increased recharge of soil moisture from
recent rains likely to result in lessening stress for livestock.

Fire Danger Impacts...

Risk of wildfire has lessened.

Hydrologic Summary and Outlook...

Due to recent rains over the last week, many area rivers and creeks
that were previously in severe drought over the last couple weeks
have shown much improved stages and flow, now averaging 5 to 7 feet.
Listed below are latest discharges for several area rivers and creeks
provided in cubic feet per second (CFS), current stage (as of Friday
February 16th), and stream flow percentile class and rating when
compared to historical flows. Source, USGS.

River/Stream Point            Discharge(cfs) Stage(ft) %Class,Rating

Conecuh River - Brantley AL     995          9.71      67, Normal
Blackwater River - Bradley AL   291          3.25      84, Above Normal
Murder Creek - Evergreen, AL    225          4.74      26, Normal
Escambia River - Century FL     9450         13.00     64. Normal
Shoal River - Crestview, FL     2880         7.21      95, Much Above Normal
Cold Water Creek - Milton FL    675          4.75      69, Normal
Blackwater River - Baker FL     913          5.09      87, Above Normal

Societal Impacts...

Limited.

Precipitation Outlook...

A weak front sinks southward over the area on Saturday, stalling
short of the coast. The front eases a little closer to the coast on
Sunday. This feature brings a small chance of showers to the Gulf
coast into the weekend. Another front approaches from the northwest
by Wednesday and brings a potentially higher chance of showers and
embedded storms, generally more focused over the northwestern
counties. The outlook through the middle of next week suggests
precipitation amounts generally a half inch or less.

Update Statement...With drought conditions lowering to below severe
categories, this will be the final statement unless drought
conditions intensify.

$$



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