Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
558 PM EDT FRI JUN 24 2016

...SEVERE DROUGHT /D2/ CONDITIONS REMAIN UNCHANGED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF MARION...HAMILTON...BRADLEY...AND POLK COUNTIES...

SYNOPSIS...
ACCORDING TO THE DROUGHT MONITOR VALID JUNE 16, 2016...SEVERE
DROUGHT /D2/ CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHWEST
GEORGIA...NORTHEAST ALABAMA...AND THE NEARBY BORDER AREAS OF EAST
TENNESSEE. THE DROUGHT AREA HAS EXPANDED SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD AND NOW
COVERS NEARLY ALL OF MARION COUNTY...AS WELL AS THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF BOTH HAMILTON AND BRADLEY COUNTIES...AND THEN
SOUTHWESTERN POLK COUNTY. THE SEVERE DROUGHT AREA INCLUDES THE
CITIES AND TOWNS OF SOUTH PITTSBURG...CHATTANOOGA...EAST RIDGE...
THE SOUTH SIDE OF CLEVELAND...AND CONASAUGA TN. THE MULTI-MONTH
PATTERN OF BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL CONTINUES TO SUPPORT THIS DROUGHT.
MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. MONDAY HAS A
GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN TURNING MOSTLY
DRY THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...
STATE AND LOCAL DECLARATIONS: NOT AVAILABLE.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS: PER THE LATEST TENNESSEE CROP WEATHER REPORT
FROM THE USDA NATIONAL AGRICULTURE STATISTICS SERVICE ON JUNE
20TH...FARMERS IN OR NEAR THE SEVERE DROUGHT AREA ARE REPORTING CORN
AND SOYBEAN CROPS ARE SUFFERING FROM THE LACK OF RAIN. CORN IS
STARTING TO TWIST IN SPOTS AND HAY YIELDS NORTH OF CHATTANOOGA ARE
MUCH BELOW AVERAGE.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS: THE TENNESSEE DIVISION OF FORESTRY CURRENTLY
HAS NO ALERTS OR EMERGENCIES ISSUED. TO OBTAIN A BURN PERMIT...
CONTACT THE TENNESSEE DIVISION OF FORESTRY. LOCAL COUNTY AND CITY
LAWS MAY RESTRICT OUTDOOR BURNING. BURNERS ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR
CONTACTING THEIR LOCAL GOVERNMENT FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

CLIMATE SUMMARY... IN CHATTANOOGA AT THE AIRPORT...THE MONTH OF JUNE
SO FAR...THROUGH JUNE 23RD...ONLY 1.08 INCHES RAINFALL RECORDED.
THIS AMOUNT IS ABOUT 2 INCHES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE MONTH AND ALMOST
7.5 INCHES BELOW NORMAL FOR THE YEAR. AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE
MONTH ARE ALSO ABOUT 4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK. CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE FORECAST LATE SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY...THEN AGAIN LATE THURSDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXPECTED
TO BE ABOUT 0.75 INCHES FOR THE WEEK. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK THEN COOLING
SLIGHTLY.

THE OUTLOOK FOR WEEK TWO /JUNE 30TH TO JULY 4TH/ SAYS THERE WILL BE
BETTER CHANCES FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL.

FOR THE MONTH OF JULY...THE ODDS ARE TILTED IN FAVOR OF ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES BUT NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION FOR THE AREA.

THE LATEST SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK FOR THE REST OF THE SUMMER
THROUGH SEPTEMBER 30TH INDICATES THAT DROUGHT IS LIKELY TO PERSIST.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK... STREAMFLOWS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
TENNESSEE ARE MOSTLY IN THE 10 TO 24 PERCENT BELOW NORMAL.

THE RECENT DRY TREND IS NOT HAVING AN EFFECT ON MOST LAKES IN THE
AREA. LAKES WITHIN THE TENNESSEE RIVER CHANNEL ARE OPERATING WITHIN
NORMAL POOL LEVELS.

ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...THE LATEST DAILY SOIL
MOISTURE RANKINGS FROM JUNE 23RD ARE AROUND THE 5TH TO 10TH
PERCENTILE ACROSS THE DROUGHT AREA OF FAR SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE.

THE USGS GROUNDWATER WELL SITES NEAR CHATTANOOGA ARE NEAR NORMAL TO
BELOW NORMAL.

THE OUTLOOK FOR LAKE LEVELS AND GROUNDWATER IS FOR GRADUALLY
DETERIORATING CONDITIONS IN THE NEAR TERM DUE TO A LACK OF
WIDESPREAD BENEFICIAL RAINS. HOWEVER...IMPROVEMENTS MAY OCCUR IN
AREAS THAT RECEIVE HEAVY RAINFALL FROM LOCALIZED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...
THE NEXT DROUGHT STATEMENT IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEK.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...
/USE LOWER CASE/

FOR MORE DROUGHT INFORMATION...VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MORRISTOWN

FOR INFORMATION ABOUT TENNESSEE DROUGHT...VISIT
WWW.TN.GOV/ENVIRONMENT/TOPIC/WR-DROUGHT-PLANNING

FOR INFORMATION FROM THE TENNESSEE DIVISION OF FORESTRY...VISIT
WWW.TN.GOV/AGRICULTURE/TOPIC/AG-EAC-FORESTRY

RADAR ESTIMATED PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS CAN BE OBTAINED FROM...
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

STREAMFLOWS ARE OBTAINED FROM THE USGS AT...
HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV/INDEX.PHP

LAKE LEVELS FOR THE TENNESSEE RIVER LAKES CAN BE OBTAINED FROM
HTTP://WWW.TVA.GOV/ENVIRONMENT/LAKE-LEVELS

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

SOME DATA USED IN THIS STATEMENT WERE PROVIDED BY THE U.S.
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE...THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY...AND THE STATE OF TENNESSEE.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

FOR QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ON THE DROUGHT...CONTACT:
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN
5974 COMMERCE BLVD
MORRISTOWN TN 37814
PHONE: 423-586-3771
SR-MRX.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

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