National Weather Service Text Product Display

Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
FGUS74 KBMX 040303
ESFBMX
ALC001-005>011-015>021-027-029-037-047-051-055-057-063-065-073-075-
081-085>088-090>093-101-105>127-133-041200-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
900 PM CST WED FEB 3 2010

...FLOOD AND RIVER FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS
COAST. THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND
ACROSS SOUTHERN ALABAMA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING.
ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE CONTENT WILL INCREASE QUICKLY AHEAD OF THIS
APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL WILL RANGE
FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. SOME
LOCALIZED AREAS MAY ACTUALLY RECEIVE HIGHER TOTALS UP TO 3 INCHES OR
SO. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL NEAR
AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LIVINGSTON TO ALEXANDER CITY.

LIGHT RAIN WILL BEGIN LATE TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ON THURSDAY.
AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THURSDAY EVENING...RAINFALL
WILL BECOME HEAVIER WITH MODERATE AND HEAVY RAINS OCCURRING ACROSS
MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. RAINFALL INTENSITIES WILL DROP OFF RATHER
QUICKLY FRIDAY MORNING AS THE STORM SYSTEM EXITS EASTWARD.

MANY CENTRAL ALABAMA STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE RUNNING AT OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE AVERAGE LEVELS AND IF THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MATERIALIZE...
RISES ON THESE RIVERS AND STREAMS MAY PRODUCE SOME MINOR OVERFLOW OR
FLOODING. THE RIVERS THAT ARE MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE MINOR
OVERFLOW OR FLOODING INCLUDE THE TOMBIGBEE...THE LOWER CAHABA...THE
ALABAMA...AND THE LOWER TALLAPOOSA.

IN ADDITION TO RIVER FLOODING...SOME ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING COULD
ALSO DEVELOP IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE HEAVY RAINFALL THURSDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY FRIDAY. GROUND MOISTURE REMAINS RELATIVELY HIGH AND HIGHER
RAIN RATES MAY PRODUCE SOME EXCESSIVE RUNOFF. BE AWARE THAT WATCHES
OR WARNINGS MAY BECOME NECESSARY.

A RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR RIVER
FLOODING...BUT IT IS NOT IMMINENT. FORECAST RAINFALL MAY CAUSE SOME
RIVER POINTS AND LOCAL STREAMS TO RISE TO CRITICAL STAGES. PLEASE
REMAIN INFORMED OF THE LATEST WEATHER AND RIVER INFORMATION AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION AS NECESSARY.  PLEASE REFER TO NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION IN YOUR AREA.

$$

75/LINHARES
National Weather Service National Headquarters
