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000
FNUS21 KWNS 091634
FWDDY1

DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1133 AM CDT SUN MAR 09 2014

VALID 091700Z - 101200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN WY / WRN AND CNTRL NEB...

HAVE UPGRADED A SIZABLE PORTION OF NEB AND SERN WY INTO A CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHT AND EXPANDED THE OUTER BOUNDS OF THE ELEVATED
DESIGNATION AREA.  16Z SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW TEMPS WARMING
THROUGH THE 50S WITH EXPECTED HIGH TEMPS GENERALLY REACHING INTO THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S ACROSS THE REGION.  WLY DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT
TO THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL PROMOTE AMPLE MIXING AND RESULT IN
SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.  MINIMUM RH IS FORECAST TO RANGE FROM
10-15 PERCENT OVER SERN WY /ALREADY 15-20 PERCENT AT 16Z/ TO AROUND
25 PERCENT NEAR THE MO RIVER.

..SMITH.. 03/09/2014

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0307 AM CDT SUN MAR 09 2014/

...SYNOPSIS...
A SRN STREAM UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS NWRN MEX WHILE BECOMING
INCREASINGLY REMOVED FROM BELT OF STRONGER NRN STREAM WLYS.
LOW-AMPLITUDE/QUASI-ZONAL FLOW REGIME WILL ENCOMPASS THE NRN HALF OF
THE CONUS...AND FAVOR DOWNSLOPE WLY WINDS ACROSS PARTS OF THE
NRN/CNTRL PLAINS. A SFC RIDGE WILL REMAIN POSITIONED ACROSS TX INTO
THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS...KEEPING ANY SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE OVER THE
GULF BASIN.

...MUCH OF NEB...FAR NRN KS...
LOW-LEVEL WLY/SWLY FLOW WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS AS
THIS AREA IS ON THE SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER WLYS ALOFT. SIGNIFICANT
DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT WILL FAVOR DEEP BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING AND
SUBSTANTIAL WARMING/DRYING DURING THE AFTERNOON /DESPITE THE LIKELY
PRESENCE OF SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS/...WHICH DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE
HANDLED WELL BY LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF
15-20 MPH /GUSTS TO 35 MPH/ ARE EXPECTED AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO
THE LOW 70S F. AS A RESULT...ELEVATED TO LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEAR PROBABLE.

FARTHER W...INTO THE SWRN NEB PANHANDLE AND FAR SERN WY...SIMILAR
METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR AS AREAS TO THE E.
HOWEVER...RAINFALL HAS BEEN MORE PLENTIFUL WITHIN THE PAST 30
DAYS...WHICH SHOULD MITIGATE THE POTENTIAL FOR RAPID FIRE SPREAD.

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...