Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37
000
FNUS76 KLOX 271952
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1252 PM PDT WED MAY 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1211 PDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TONIGHT AND
A MODERATELY AMPLIFIED RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON
THURSDAY. LOW CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MARINE LAYER ARE NOT
FORECAST FOR THE SITE...BUT THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THEY WILL MOVE
OVER THE SITE FROM THE EAST DURING THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS
THURSDAY. THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING ONLY A DEGREE OR
TWO OF WARMING TO THE INCIDENT SITE ON THURSDAY BECAUSE OF THE
MARINE LAYER INFLUENCE. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LATE
EVENING THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS
INCREASING TO LOCALLY MODERATE SPEEDS BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. A
LONG PERIOD SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
WATERS INSIDE THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL.
WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS WILL AFFECT THE SANTA YNEZ MOUNTAINS AND WILL
HELP TO KEEP THE COAST CLEAR FROM REFUFIO TO GAVIOTA THURSDAY
MORNING.

OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL PEAK IN
STRENGTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BRINGING REDUCED MARINE LAYER CLOUD
COVERAGE TO THE AREA AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. WEAKER
ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS DUE TO
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAKER ONSHORE TRENDS IN SURFACE PRESSURE.
A SMALL MIX OF SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SWELL AND MINOR WESTERLY WIND
SWELL WILL CONTINUE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........1800-2200: SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 2-3 MPH.
                    2200-0600: WINDS VARIABLE 1-3 MPH...BECOMING
                    EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 TO 2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........18 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-2 FEET BECOMING FLAT BY 2200 HOURS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65-70.
RH..................MIN 50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: WINDS VARIABLE 0-3 MPH.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH AFTER 1500 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1-2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........16-17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT BUILDING TO 1-2 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150527.REFUG.02/LOX


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.