Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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000
FXHW01 KWNH 021230
PMDHI

HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM EDT THU OCT 02 2014

VALID 00Z FRI OCT 03 2014 - 00Z FRI OCT 10 2014

MODELS AND ENSEMBLES REASONABLY AGREE THAT LIGHT TRADES OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS MAY BE FURTHER DISRUPTED THIS WEEKEND INTO
NEXT WEEK AS A WAVY MID-LATITUDE FRONT APPROACHES AND STALLS TO
THE NORTHWEST OF THE STATE. THIS OCCURS AS A SERIES OF LEAD
SUPPORTING AND ENERGETIC MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGHS AND THEN THE
POTENT EXTRATROPICAL LOW ASSOCIATED WITH CURRENT WEST PACIFIC
TYPHOON PHANFONE PASS WELL TO THE NORTH OF HAWAII AND LIFTS INTO
THE NERN PACIFIC. POOLING MOISTURE OVER THE ISLANDS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO FUEL SHOWERS IN AN EMERGING LAND/SEA BREEZE FOCUSING
PATTERN AS PER A PREFERED COMPOSITE MODEL AND ENSEMBLE SOLUTION.

SCHICHTEL

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